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Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market

ID: MRFR/AD/32325-HCR
111 Pages
Sejal Akre
October 2025

NATO Military Aircraft Modernization and Retrofit Market Research Report: By Modernization Type (Avionics Upgrade, Engine Overhaul, Structural Improvement, Weapons Integration), By Aircraft Type (Fighter Aircraft, Transport Aircraft, Helicopters, Reconnaissance Aircraft), By End User (Government, Military, Defense Contractors), By Service Type (Maintenance, Repair, Training) and By Regional (North America, Europe, South America, Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa) - Forecast to 2035.

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Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market Summary

As per MRFR analysis, the Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market was estimated at 34.6 USD Billion in 2024. The market is projected to grow from 38.29 USD Billion in 2025 to 82.5 USD Billion by 2035, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.98 during the forecast period 2025 - 2035.

Key Market Trends & Highlights

The NATO Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market is poised for substantial growth driven by technological advancements and increasing defense budgets.

  • Technological advancements are reshaping the capabilities of military aircraft, enhancing performance and operational efficiency.
  • North America remains the largest market, while the Asia-Pacific region is emerging as the fastest-growing area for modernization efforts.
  • Avionics upgrades dominate the market, yet engine modernization is rapidly gaining traction among defense contractors.
  • Increased defense budgets and emerging geopolitical tensions are key drivers propelling the demand for modernization and interoperability initiatives.

Market Size & Forecast

2024 Market Size 34.6 (USD Billion)
2035 Market Size 82.5 (USD Billion)
CAGR (2025 - 2035) 7.98%

Major Players

Lockheed Martin (US), Northrop Grumman (US), BAE Systems (GB), Raytheon Technologies (US), Airbus (DE), Leonardo (IT), Thales Group (FR), General Dynamics (US), Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (IN)

Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market Trends

The Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market is currently experiencing a notable evolution, driven by the increasing need for enhanced operational capabilities and the integration of advanced technologies. As military forces seek to extend the lifespan of their existing aircraft fleets, modernization initiatives are becoming a priority. This trend is largely influenced by the necessity to maintain competitive advantages in a rapidly changing geopolitical landscape. Furthermore, the emphasis on interoperability among NATO allies is fostering collaborative efforts in upgrading aircraft systems, which may lead to shared technological advancements and cost efficiencies. In addition, the market appears to be shaped by the growing focus on sustainability and environmental considerations. As nations strive to reduce their carbon footprints, retrofitting older aircraft with more efficient systems could potentially align military operations with broader environmental goals. This dual focus on performance enhancement and ecological responsibility suggests a complex interplay of factors influencing the Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market. Stakeholders must navigate these dynamics to effectively address the evolving demands of modern warfare while ensuring compliance with international standards and agreements.

Technological Advancements

The integration of cutting-edge technologies into existing aircraft is a prominent trend. This includes the adoption of advanced avionics, enhanced communication systems, and improved weaponry, which collectively aim to bolster operational effectiveness.

Interoperability Initiatives

Efforts to enhance interoperability among NATO member states are increasingly influencing modernization projects. Collaborative upgrades may facilitate seamless operations across different national forces, thereby strengthening collective defense capabilities.

Sustainability Focus

A growing emphasis on sustainability is shaping modernization strategies. Retrofitting older aircraft with energy-efficient systems not only extends their operational life but also aligns military practices with environmental objectives.

Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market Drivers

Aging Aircraft Fleet

The aging aircraft fleet within NATO member states is a critical driver for the Global NATO Military Aircraft Modernization and Retrofit Market Industry. Many military aircraft are reaching the end of their operational lifespan, necessitating upgrades to maintain effectiveness and safety. Retrofitting older models with modern systems not only extends their service life but also ensures compatibility with contemporary warfare requirements. This trend is particularly evident as nations seek to balance budget constraints with the need for operational readiness. As a result, the market is poised for growth, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 4.9% from 2025 to 2035, reflecting the urgency of addressing fleet modernization.

Increased Defense Budgets

The Global NATO Military Aircraft Modernization and Retrofit Market Industry is experiencing a surge in defense budgets among NATO member countries. As geopolitical tensions rise, nations are prioritizing military readiness and modernization. For instance, in 2024, defense spending is projected to reach 20.7 USD Billion, reflecting a commitment to enhancing aerial capabilities. This trend is expected to continue, with budgets likely increasing to support advanced technologies and upgrades. The focus on modernization is not merely a response to current threats but also a strategic move to ensure long-term operational effectiveness and interoperability among NATO forces.

Technological Advancements

Technological innovation plays a pivotal role in the Global NATO Military Aircraft Modernization and Retrofit Market Industry. The integration of cutting-edge technologies, such as artificial intelligence, advanced avionics, and enhanced weapon systems, is transforming military aviation. These advancements enable aircraft to operate more efficiently and effectively in complex environments. For example, the modernization of legacy aircraft with new sensors and communication systems enhances situational awareness and combat capabilities. As NATO countries invest in these technologies, the market is expected to grow, with projections indicating a rise to 35.0 USD Billion by 2035, driven by the demand for state-of-the-art military solutions.

Interoperability Requirements

Interoperability among NATO forces is increasingly vital in the Global NATO Military Aircraft Modernization and Retrofit Market Industry. As NATO conducts joint operations, the need for compatible systems and technologies becomes paramount. Modernization efforts focus on ensuring that aircraft can communicate and operate seamlessly with allied forces. This requirement drives investments in upgrades that enhance communication systems, data sharing capabilities, and joint operational frameworks. The emphasis on interoperability not only improves mission effectiveness but also fosters collaboration among member nations. As NATO continues to evolve, the modernization of aircraft to meet these interoperability standards remains a key market driver.

Emerging Threats and Security Challenges

The Global NATO Military Aircraft Modernization and Retrofit Market Industry is significantly influenced by emerging threats and evolving security challenges. As global security dynamics shift, NATO countries are compelled to adapt their military capabilities to counter new forms of warfare, including cyber threats and asymmetric warfare. This necessitates the modernization of aircraft to incorporate advanced defensive systems and countermeasures. The ongoing assessment of threat landscapes drives investment in retrofitting existing fleets to enhance resilience and operational effectiveness. Consequently, the market is expected to expand as nations prioritize modernization to address these challenges and ensure national and collective security.

Market Segment Insights

By Application: Avionics Upgrade (Largest) vs. Engine Modernization (Fastest-Growing)

The NATO Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market displays a diversified application landscape, with avionics upgrade leading the market share due to its critical importance in enhancing aircraft operational effectiveness. This segment garners significant traction from military personnel needing state-of-the-art technology to improve communication, navigation, and mission effectiveness. Conversely, engine modernization is witnessing rapid growth as the demand for fuel efficiency and reduced operational costs drives military investments in this area, establishing it as the fastest-growing application segment.

Avionics Upgrade (Dominant) vs. Engine Modernization (Emerging)

Avionics upgrades represent a dominant force in the NATO Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market, reflecting the sector's focus on integrating advanced electronic defense systems, radar enhancements, and updated cockpit interfaces necessary for contemporary warfare. These upgrades ensure NATO's aircraft stay relevant in a fast-evolving combat landscape. On the other hand, engine modernization is emerging as a key player by optimizing propulsion systems to enhance fuel efficiency and reduce emissions. This segment is increasingly seen as vital for extending aircraft operational lifespans and meeting new environmental norms, thus attracting investment and focus from various nations.

By End Use: Military (Largest) vs. Defense Contractors (Fastest-Growing)

In the NATO Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market, the distribution of market share among the end use segments reveals that the military sector holds the largest portion. This is attributed to ongoing commitments to modernize aging fleets and enhance operational capabilities. The government segment also plays a significant role, reflecting robust investment strategies to maintain national security and address evolving threats. Meanwhile, defense contractors are rapidly expanding their presence within this market, especially as NATO members increase their reliance on outsourced modernization solutions. The growth trends in this segment indicate a vibrant shift towards advanced technologies and strategic partnerships. As military operations scale up in complexity, the demand for retrofitting initiatives continues to surge. Enhanced emphasis on joint operations and interoperability within NATO further fuels modernization efforts, compelling both military and defense contractors to adopt innovative approaches. Emerging technologies, such as digital modeling and simulation, are also becoming crucial drivers in streamlining modernization processes for improved efficiency and performance, thereby significantly influencing the market dynamics.

Military (Dominant) vs. Government (Emerging)

The Military sector is a dominant force within the NATO Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market, characterized by established defense budgets and a clear focus on upgrading existing capabilities. This segment prioritizes modernization projects that enhance operational effectiveness and readiness, often leading to long-term partnerships with various defense contractors. In contrast, the Government segment is emerging, as it increasingly recognizes the strategic importance of military preparedness. Governments are investing in retrofitting initiatives not only to maintain their fleets but also to assure their military forces operate with cutting-edge technology. These evolving relationships signify a critical shift towards collaboration among governments and military entities, fostering an environment that encourages innovation and resource sharing, which is essential for addressing the dynamic challenges in modern warfare.

By Platform Type: Fixed Wing Aircraft (Largest) vs. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (Fastest-Growing)

In the NATO Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market, Fixed Wing Aircraft dominate market share due to their established presence and extensive use in various military operations. As traditional warfighting capabilities are enhanced, Fixed Wing Aircraft remain pivotal for reconnaissance, transport, and combat. In contrast, Unmanned Aerial Vehicles are rapidly gaining traction, thanks to their flexibility, cost-effectiveness, and ability to perform missions in hostile environments without risking personnel. Although their market share is smaller compared to Fixed Wing Aircraft, UAVs are becoming increasingly vital for modern warfare strategies.

Fixed Wing Aircraft (Dominant) vs. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (Emerging)

Fixed Wing Aircraft are considered the backbone of NATO's air power, boasting advanced capabilities for air superiority, intelligence gathering, and support roles. Their robust design allows them to carry out extended missions, and ongoing modernization programs ensure that these aircraft remain equipped with cutting-edge technology. On the other hand, Unmanned Aerial Vehicles represent an emerging force in the military landscape, characterized by rapid technological advancements and growing operational adoption. UAVs offer unique tactical advantages, including surveillance, strike capabilities, and fleet efficiency, making them a favored choice for future conflict scenarios. As both segments evolve, the interplay between traditional and emerging platforms will shape NATO's aerial modernization strategies.

By Technology: Digital Cockpit Systems (Largest) vs. Advanced Radar Systems (Fastest-Growing)

The NATO Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market showcases a diversified technology segment. Digital Cockpit Systems dominate the market with significant penetration, appealing to military forces aiming to enhance situational awareness and operational efficiency. In contrast, Advanced Radar Systems are rapidly gaining momentum, driven by the increasing demand for precision and multi-domain awareness in military operations. Electronic Warfare Systems, while critical, currently hold a smaller share as they are often integrated into broader systems rather than being standalone solutions. The growth trends in this segment are underpinned by advancements in technology and increasing geopolitical tensions that urge NATO allies to upgrade their military capabilities. Digital Cockpit Systems are being modernized with user-friendly interfaces and enhanced functionality, ensuring mission success. Meanwhile, Advanced Radar Systems are seeing swift adoption due to innovations in detection capabilities, rendering them vital in modern warfare. The focus is increasingly shifting towards integrated solutions, combining these technologies for seamless operation within military aircraft.

Digital Cockpit Systems (Dominant) vs. Advanced Radar Systems (Emerging)

Digital Cockpit Systems play a crucial role in the NATO Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market, characterized by their integration of advanced displays, enhanced user interfaces, and improved data processing capabilities. These systems provide pilots with critical information at a glance, significantly improving decision-making and operational efficiency. As the dominant technology, they are favored for upgrades in legacy aircraft, ensuring that NATO fleets remain competitive. On the other hand, Advanced Radar Systems are emerging as essential tools for modern warfare, enabling precise tracking and targeting in complex environments. With their ability to integrate with other systems and adapt to an evolving threat landscape, these radar technologies are becoming increasingly vital, driving innovative defense strategies within NATO nations.

By Service Type: Maintenance (Largest) vs. Overhaul (Fastest-Growing)

In the NATO Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market, the service type segment is primarily divided into three core areas: maintenance, repair, and overhaul. Among these, maintenance commands the largest share, driven by the ongoing necessity to ensure operational readiness of military aircraft. The consistent demand for maintenance services reflects the strategic importance of keeping aircraft in peak condition, which is integral to military capabilities and mission success.

Maintenance (Dominant) vs. Overhaul (Emerging)

Maintenance services are characterized by routine checks, servicing, and repairs that are essential for the extended operational life of military aircraft. This segment plays a dominant role due to its consistency and essential nature, ensuring that aircraft are always ready for deployment. Meanwhile, overhaul services, which involve more extensive restorations and updates to aircraft systems, are considered an emerging necessity as military forces look to enhance capabilities amidst evolving threats. With technological advancements and modernization efforts, overhaul services are expected to grow rapidly, reflecting a shift towards more comprehensive and capable military aircraft.

Get more detailed insights about Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market

Regional Insights

North America : Defense Innovation Leader

North America is poised to maintain its leadership in the NATO Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market, holding a significant market share of 17.38% as of 2024. The region's growth is driven by increasing defense budgets, technological advancements, and a focus on enhancing military capabilities. Regulatory support from government initiatives further catalyzes modernization efforts, ensuring that military aircraft remain competitive and effective in various operational environments. The United States stands out as the primary player in this market, with key companies like Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and Raytheon Technologies leading the charge. The competitive landscape is characterized by continuous innovation and collaboration among defense contractors, ensuring that North America remains at the forefront of military aircraft modernization. The presence of advanced research facilities and a skilled workforce further solidifies the region's dominance.

Europe : Strategic Defense Collaborations

Europe's NATO Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market is projected to grow, with a market size of 10.38% in 2025. The region's demand is fueled by geopolitical tensions and the need for enhanced defense capabilities. Collaborative efforts among NATO member states and increased defense spending are pivotal in driving modernization initiatives. Regulatory frameworks are evolving to support these efforts, ensuring compliance with international standards and enhancing operational readiness. Leading countries such as the UK, Germany, and France are at the forefront of this market, with companies like BAE Systems, Airbus, and Thales Group playing significant roles. The competitive landscape is marked by strategic partnerships and joint ventures aimed at leveraging technological advancements. As European nations prioritize defense modernization, the market is expected to witness robust growth, driven by both governmental and private sector investments.

Asia-Pacific : Emerging Defense Market

The Asia-Pacific region is emerging as a significant player in the NATO Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market, with a market size of 5.0% projected for 2025. The growth is driven by increasing defense budgets, regional security concerns, and the modernization of aging aircraft fleets. Countries in this region are focusing on enhancing their military capabilities, supported by government initiatives and international collaborations that aim to improve defense readiness and interoperability with NATO forces. Key players in this market include Hindustan Aeronautics Limited and various local defense contractors. Countries like India, Japan, and Australia are leading the charge in modernization efforts, with a focus on acquiring advanced technologies and systems. The competitive landscape is characterized by partnerships with Western defense firms, ensuring access to cutting-edge technologies and expertise, which is crucial for the region's defense aspirations.

Middle East and Africa : Defense Modernization Focus

The Middle East and Africa (MEA) region is witnessing a gradual increase in the NATO Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market, with a market size of 2.84% anticipated by 2025. The growth is primarily driven by regional conflicts, the need for enhanced security, and modernization of military capabilities. Governments are increasingly prioritizing defense spending, supported by international partnerships and collaborations that aim to bolster military readiness and operational effectiveness. Countries such as the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and South Africa are leading the modernization efforts, with a focus on upgrading existing aircraft fleets. The competitive landscape includes both local and international defense contractors, with companies seeking to establish a foothold in this emerging market. As the region continues to invest in defense modernization, the market is expected to grow, driven by both governmental initiatives and private sector involvement.

Key Players and Competitive Insights

The Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market is characterized by a dynamic competitive landscape, driven by the increasing need for enhanced operational capabilities and technological advancements. Key players such as Lockheed Martin (US), Northrop Grumman (US), and BAE Systems (GB) are at the forefront, each adopting distinct strategies to solidify their market positions. Lockheed Martin (US) emphasizes innovation through advanced avionics and stealth technologies, while Northrop Grumman (US) focuses on integrating artificial intelligence into existing platforms. BAE Systems (GB) is actively pursuing partnerships to enhance its capabilities in cyber defense and electronic warfare, collectively shaping a competitive environment that prioritizes technological superiority and operational readiness.

In terms of business tactics, companies are increasingly localizing manufacturing to reduce costs and enhance supply chain resilience. The market structure appears moderately fragmented, with several key players exerting influence over specific segments. This fragmentation allows for niche players to thrive, while larger firms leverage their scale to optimize supply chains and drive innovation. The collective influence of these key players fosters a competitive atmosphere where agility and responsiveness to market demands are paramount.

In November 2025, Lockheed Martin (US) announced a strategic partnership with a European defense contractor to co-develop next-generation avionics systems for NATO aircraft. This collaboration is poised to enhance interoperability among allied forces, reflecting a growing trend towards collaborative defense initiatives. The strategic importance of this partnership lies in its potential to streamline modernization efforts across multiple platforms, thereby increasing operational efficiency and effectiveness.

In October 2025, Northrop Grumman (US) unveiled a new AI-driven maintenance system designed to predict aircraft component failures before they occur. This innovation not only reduces downtime but also significantly lowers maintenance costs, which is critical in a budget-constrained environment. The introduction of such technology underscores the company's commitment to leveraging AI for operational excellence, potentially setting a new standard in aircraft maintenance practices.

In September 2025, BAE Systems (GB) secured a contract to retrofit a fleet of Eurofighter Typhoons with advanced electronic warfare capabilities. This move is indicative of the company's strategy to enhance the survivability of NATO aircraft in contested environments. By investing in electronic warfare, BAE Systems (GB) positions itself as a leader in addressing emerging threats, thereby reinforcing its competitive edge in the modernization retrofit market.

As of December 2025, current trends in the market include a pronounced shift towards digitalization, sustainability, and the integration of AI technologies. Strategic alliances are increasingly shaping the competitive landscape, enabling companies to pool resources and expertise to tackle complex challenges. Looking ahead, competitive differentiation is likely to evolve from traditional price-based competition to a focus on innovation, technological advancements, and supply chain reliability. This shift suggests that companies that prioritize R&D and collaborative efforts will be better positioned to thrive in an increasingly complex and demanding market.

Key Companies in the Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market market include

Industry Developments

The NATO Military Aircraft Modernization and Retrofit Market is witnessing significant growth driven by advancements in technology and increasing defense budgets among NATO member countries. Recent developments include various initiatives to upgrade existing fleets and enhance capabilities against emerging threats. Companies like Lockheed Martin and BAE Systems are heavily involved in modernization projects to improve avionics and weapon systems in aircraft such as the F-35 and Eurofighter Typhoon. Furthermore, mergers and acquisitions are shaping the landscape; for instance, Boeing has made strategic moves to bolster its defense portfolio, aligning with the increased demand for refined military capabilities.

Additionally, Raytheon Technologies has entered partnerships with Northrop Grumman to enhance air defense systems. The focus on collaborative technology solutions is evident as firms like Airbus and Leonardo continue to innovate in their aircraft offerings. Notably, the sector's valuation is increasing due to heightened investment in R&D and the urgent need for NATO nations to modernize fleets amidst geopolitical tensions. Companies such as L3Harris Technologies and Elbit Systems are also working on cutting-edge technologies for avionics and sensors, further driving market growth.

Future Outlook

Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market Future Outlook

The NATO Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market is projected to grow at a 7.98% CAGR from 2024 to 2035, driven by technological advancements and increasing defense budgets.

New opportunities lie in:

  • Integration of advanced avionics systems for enhanced operational capabilities.
  • Development of modular upgrade kits for cost-effective retrofitting.
  • Expansion of cybersecurity solutions tailored for military aircraft modernization.

By 2035, the market is expected to be robust, reflecting substantial growth and innovation.

Market Segmentation

Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market End Use Outlook

  • Military
  • Government
  • Defense Contractors

Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market Technology Outlook

  • Digital Cockpit Systems
  • Advanced Radar Systems
  • Electronic Warfare Systems

Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market Application Outlook

  • Avionics Upgrade
  • Weapon System Enhancement
  • Structural Modification
  • Engine Modernization

Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market Service Type Outlook

  • Maintenance
  • Repair
  • Overhaul

Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market Platform Type Outlook

  • Fixed Wing Aircraft
  • Rotary Wing Aircraft
  • Unmanned Aerial Vehicles

Report Scope

MARKET SIZE 202434.6(USD Billion)
MARKET SIZE 202538.29(USD Billion)
MARKET SIZE 203582.5(USD Billion)
COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH RATE (CAGR)7.98% (2024 - 2035)
REPORT COVERAGERevenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
BASE YEAR2024
Market Forecast Period2025 - 2035
Historical Data2019 - 2024
Market Forecast UnitsUSD Billion
Key Companies ProfiledLockheed Martin (US), Northrop Grumman (US), BAE Systems (GB), Raytheon Technologies (US), Airbus (DE), Leonardo (IT), Thales Group (FR), General Dynamics (US), Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (IN)
Segments CoveredApplication, End Use, Platform Type, Technology, Service Type
Key Market OpportunitiesIntegration of advanced avionics and artificial intelligence enhances operational capabilities in the Nato Military Aircraft Modernization Retrofit Market.
Key Market DynamicsRising demand for advanced avionics and systems integration drives modernization efforts in NATO military aircraft.
Countries CoveredNorth America, Europe, APAC, South America, MEA

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FAQs

What was the expected market size of the Global NATO Military Aircraft Modernization and Retrofit Market in 2032?

The expected market size in 2032 was projected to be 30.4 USD Billion.

What is the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the Global NATO Military Aircraft Modernization and Retrofit Market from 2024 to 2032?

The CAGR for the market from 2024 to 2032 is expected to be 4.81%.

Which region holds the largest market share in the Global NATO Military Aircraft Modernization and Retrofit Market in 2023?

North America holds the largest market share, valued at 7.5 USD Billion in 2023.

What is the market size for the Avionics Upgrade segment in the Global NATO Military Aircraft Modernization and Retrofit Market in 2023?

The Avionics Upgrade segment is valued at 5.3 USD Billion in 2023.

Which key players are prominent in the Global NATO Military Aircraft Modernization and Retrofit Market?

Prominent players include Lockheed Martin, Boeing, and Raytheon Technologies among others.

What is the expected market value of the Weapons Integration segment in 2032?

The Weapons Integration segment is expected to be valued at 10.0 USD Billion in 2032.

What is the market size of the Europe region in the Global NATO Military Aircraft Modernization and Retrofit Market in 2032?

The Europe region is forecasted to reach a market size of 8.0 USD Billion in 2032.

What challenges are facing the Global NATO Military Aircraft Modernization and Retrofit Market currently?

Challenges include evolving technologies and the need for cost-effective modernization solutions.

What is the anticipated market value for Engine Overhaul by 2032?

The Engine Overhaul segment is projected to reach a market value of 6.8 USD Billion by 2032.

How much is the South American market for NATO Military Aircraft Modernization and Retrofit expected to grow by 2032?

The South American market is expected to grow to 3.2 USD Billion by 2032.

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