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Mexico Green Ammonia Market

ID: MRFR/CnM/46470-HCR
111 Pages
Chitranshi Jaiswal
October 2025

Mexico Green Ammonia Market Research Report: By Technology (lkaline Water Electrolysis, Proton Exchange Membrane Electrolysis, Solid Oxide Electrolysis) andBy Application (Power Generation, Transportation, Industrial Feedstocks)- Forecast to 2035

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Mexico Green Ammonia Market Summary

As per analysis, the Mexico green ammonia market is projected to grow from USD 31.34 Million in 2024 to USD 54.37 Million by 2025, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 73% during the forecast period 2025 - 2035

Key Market Trends & Highlights

The Mexico green ammonia market is poised for substantial growth driven by renewable energy integration and agricultural applications.

  • The fertilizer segment remains the largest contributor to the green ammonia market in Mexico, reflecting its critical role in sustainable agriculture.
  • The fuel cells segment is emerging as the fastest-growing area, indicating a shift towards cleaner energy solutions in transportation.
  • Government support and favorable policy frameworks are enhancing the market's growth potential, fostering innovation and investment.
  • Renewable energy integration and agricultural applications are key drivers propelling the expansion of the green ammonia market.

Market Size & Forecast

2024 Market Size 31.34 (USD Million)
2035 Market Size 13440.48 (USD Million)
CAGR (2025 - 2035) 73.5%

Major Players

Nutrien (CA), Yara International (NO), CF Industries (US), BASF (DE), Siemens Energy (DE), Air Products and Chemicals (US), Haldor Topsoe (DK), KBR (US)

Mexico Green Ammonia Market Trends

The Mexico green ammonia market is currently experiencing a notable transformation, driven by the increasing emphasis on sustainable energy solutions and the need to reduce carbon emissions. The country is strategically positioned to leverage its abundant renewable energy resources, particularly solar and wind, which are essential for the production of green ammonia. This shift towards cleaner alternatives is not only aligned with Mexico's environmental goals but also supports its commitments under international climate agreements. As a result, various stakeholders, including government entities and private investors, are actively exploring opportunities within this burgeoning sector. In addition to the environmental benefits, the Mexico green ammonia market appears to be gaining traction due to its potential applications in agriculture and energy storage. The agricultural sector, which is a significant component of the national economy, may benefit from the use of green ammonia as a sustainable fertilizer. Furthermore, the ability of green ammonia to serve as a hydrogen carrier could play a crucial role in the country's energy transition. Overall, the Mexico green ammonia market is poised for growth, with various initiatives and investments likely to shape its future landscape.

Renewable Energy Integration

The Mexico green ammonia market is increasingly integrating renewable energy sources, particularly solar and wind power, into its production processes. This trend reflects a broader commitment to sustainability and aligns with national energy policies aimed at reducing reliance on fossil fuels. By harnessing these abundant resources, producers can create green ammonia with a lower carbon footprint, thereby enhancing the market's appeal to environmentally conscious consumers and industries.

Agricultural Applications

The agricultural sector in Mexico is beginning to recognize the potential of green ammonia as a sustainable fertilizer alternative. This trend is driven by the need for environmentally friendly agricultural practices that minimize chemical runoff and promote soil health. As farmers seek to improve crop yields while adhering to sustainable practices, the adoption of green ammonia could become a pivotal aspect of modern agriculture in the region.

Government Support and Policy Framework

The Mexico green ammonia market is benefiting from supportive government policies aimed at promoting clean energy technologies. Initiatives designed to incentivize investment in renewable energy and green ammonia production are emerging, reflecting a commitment to achieving climate goals. This supportive policy environment is likely to attract both domestic and foreign investments, fostering innovation and growth within the sector.

Market Segment Insights

By Application: Fertilizer (Largest) vs. Fuel Cells (Fastest-Growing)

In the Mexico green ammonia market, the application segment is predominantly led by the fertilizer sector, reflecting its longstanding utilization of ammonia in agriculture for soil enrichment and crop yield enhancement. Following this, energy storage, fuel cells, and power generation are emerging as significant contributors, albeit with varying market shares. Fertilizer represents a substantial portion of the total market, while energy storage, fuel cells, and power generation are gradually carving out their niches, thanks to technological advancements and growing interest in renewable energy solutions. Growth trends within the application segment indicate a robust shift towards cleaner energy alternatives. Fertilizer continues to dominate, driven by the increasing need for sustainable agricultural practices, while fuel cells are experiencing surge due to the push for decarbonization in transportation and energy systems. Energy storage solutions are gaining traction as renewable resources like solar and wind energy become more prevalent, facilitating the efficient storage and use of generated power. Overall, this segment reflects a transformation towards environmentally-friendly applications of green ammonia in Mexico.

Fertilizer (Dominant) vs. Fuel Cells (Emerging)

The fertilizer application segment in the Mexico green ammonia market stands as the dominant force, driven by the immense demand for sustainable agricultural practices and the need for enhanced crop yields. Ammonia fertilizers are crucial for modern agriculture, significantly improving soil health and ensuring food security. In contrast, fuel cells represent an emerging segment, positioning themselves as a pivotal technology for energy transition and decarbonization efforts. Fuel cells utilize green ammonia as a clean energy carrier, providing zero-emission solutions for vehicles and stationary power systems. This emerging segment is witnessing rapid technological advancements and increasing investments, fueled by the growing awareness of reducing carbon footprints and the transition to hydrogen-based energy solutions.

By End Use: Agriculture (Largest) vs. Transportation (Fastest-Growing)

In the Mexico green ammonia market, the end-use segments are witnessing significant differentiation. Agriculture currently holds the largest share due to its essential role in fertilization processes, whereby green ammonia is increasingly being adopted as a sustainable alternative to traditional fertilizers. This switching trend is accelerating as consumers and regulatory bodies push for more environmentally friendly agricultural practices. Transportation, while currently smaller than agriculture, is the fastest-growing segment, fueled by the increasing demand for cleaner fuels and the adoption of green technologies by transportation companies striving to reduce their carbon footprint.

Agriculture: Dominant vs. Transportation: Emerging

In Mexico, the agriculture sector is dominating the green ammonia market due to its pronounced need for fertilizers that minimize environmental impact. Green ammonia is recognized for its effectiveness in increasing crop yields without the negative ecological effects typically associated with synthetic fertilizers. Conversely, the transportation sector is emerging as a key player, with growing investments in hydrogen fuel cell technologies that rely on green ammonia as a clean fuel source. The transportation industry's focus on 'greening' its operations is expected to drive further adoption, making it a vital area for innovation and investment in the coming years.

By Production Method: Electrolysis (Largest) vs. Thermochemical (Fastest-Growing)

The Mexico green ammonia market reveals distinct dynamics within its production methods, with electrolysis leading in market share, serving as the predominant method in ammonia production. Its efficiency and alignment with renewable energy sources make it an attractive choice for manufacturers seeking to transition to greener practices. Meanwhile, thermochemical processes are gaining traction, driven by recent technological advancements and increasing investments aimed at enhancing energy efficiency.

Production Methods: Electrolysis (Dominant) vs. Thermochemical (Emerging)

Electrolysis holds a dominant position in the Mexico green ammonia market due to its reliance on renewable electricity to split water, producing hydrogen without CO2 emissions. This method is favored for its minimal environmental impact and scalability. In contrast, thermochemical processes, which convert biomass or other feedstocks to hydrogen, are emerging as a complementary solution. They are becoming increasingly popular due to innovations in high-temperature reactors and optimization for fuel flexibility, catering to the diverse raw material supply in Mexico. Together, these methods represent two sides of the green ammonia production spectrum, each with unique benefits and growing potential.

By Distribution Channel: Direct Sales (Largest) vs. Online Sales (Fastest-Growing)

In the Mexico green ammonia market, the distribution channel segment showcases a diverse landscape with significant contributions from direct sales and emerging online sales. Direct sales currently dominate the market, providing a preferential choice for many customers seeking bulk purchases and personalized service. Meanwhile, online sales represent a growing segment, driven by increasing digitalization and changing consumer preferences towards convenient purchasing methods.

Direct Sales (Dominant) vs. Online Sales (Emerging)

Direct sales in the Mexico green ammonia market maintain a strong foothold, appealing to industrial customers who prioritize reliability and service. This channel often involves direct interactions with manufacturers or distributors, ensuring tailored solutions that meet specific needs. On the other hand, online sales present a rapidly evolving opportunity, leveraging e-commerce platforms to reach a broader audience, including small and medium enterprises. This emerging channel is characterized by its efficiency, providing customers with the convenience of ordering through digital interfaces. The growth in online sales is supported by changing buyer behaviors and an increasing focus on sustainability, making it a vital component of the overall distribution strategy.

Get more detailed insights about Mexico Green Ammonia Market

Key Players and Competitive Insights

The green ammonia market in Mexico is characterized by a dynamic competitive landscape, driven by increasing demand for sustainable energy solutions and the need for decarbonization in various sectors. Key players such as Nutrien (CA), Yara International (NO), and CF Industries (US) are actively positioning themselves through strategic initiatives aimed at enhancing their operational capabilities and market reach. Nutrien (CA) focuses on innovation in production processes, while Yara International (NO) emphasizes partnerships to expand its technological footprint. CF Industries (US) is leveraging its extensive supply chain to optimize production efficiency, collectively shaping a competitive environment that is increasingly focused on sustainability and technological advancement.

The market structure appears moderately fragmented, with several players vying for market share. Key business tactics include localizing manufacturing to reduce transportation costs and enhance supply chain resilience. This localization strategy is particularly relevant in Mexico, where proximity to key markets can significantly impact operational efficiency. The collective influence of these major players fosters a competitive atmosphere that encourages innovation and collaboration, ultimately benefiting the market as a whole.

In November 2025, Yara International (NO) announced a strategic partnership with a local Mexican energy firm to develop a green ammonia production facility in the Yucatán Peninsula. This initiative is significant as it not only enhances Yara's production capacity but also aligns with Mexico's renewable energy goals, potentially positioning the company as a leader in the region's green ammonia sector. The collaboration is expected to leverage local resources and expertise, thereby reducing costs and increasing sustainability.

In October 2025, Nutrien (CA) unveiled plans to invest $200 million in expanding its green ammonia production capabilities in Mexico. This investment is crucial as it reflects Nutrien's commitment to meeting the growing demand for sustainable fertilizers and energy solutions. By enhancing its production capacity, Nutrien aims to solidify its market position and respond effectively to the increasing pressure for environmentally friendly agricultural practices.

In September 2025, CF Industries (US) entered into a joint venture with a Mexican utility company to develop a green ammonia facility powered by renewable energy sources. This strategic move is indicative of CF Industries' focus on integrating renewable energy into its production processes, which is likely to enhance its competitive edge in the market. The joint venture not only diversifies CF's energy sources but also aligns with global trends towards sustainability and carbon neutrality.

As of December 2025, current competitive trends in the green ammonia market are heavily influenced by digitalization, sustainability initiatives, and the integration of AI technologies. Strategic alliances are increasingly shaping the landscape, allowing companies to pool resources and expertise to drive innovation. The shift from price-based competition to a focus on technological advancement and supply chain reliability is evident, suggesting that future competitive differentiation will hinge on the ability to innovate and adapt to changing market demands.

Key Companies in the Mexico Green Ammonia Market market include

Industry Developments

The Mexico Green Ammonia Market has witnessed notable developments in recent months. Thyssenkrupp and Air Products and Chemicals are advancing their joint projects focused on producing green hydrogen, which is pivotal for green ammonia production, thereby contributing to the national decarbonization goals outlined in Mexico's energy policy. Acciona has made strides in developing sustainable projects utilizing renewable energy sources to enhance green ammonia production efficiencies. Siemens Energy continues to engage in regional partnerships to maximize the use of wind energy for ammonia generation.

Yara International is ramping up investments in its facilities to increase green ammonia output as global demand surges. In terms of mergers and acquisitions, in August 2023, ENGIE announced its acquisition of a significant stake in a Mexican renewable energy project linked to green ammonia initiatives, which is a strategic move for expanding its market influence. Furthermore, over the past two years, major announcements like the establishment of pilot plants by BLACK and VEATCH and BASF underscore the vigorous interest in this sector.

Overall, the market's growth trajectory is characterized by an expanding network of collaborations and investments, aiming to position Mexico as a key player in the global green ammonia landscape.

Future Outlook

Mexico Green Ammonia Market Future Outlook

The Mexico green ammonia market is poised for remarkable growth, driven by renewable energy adoption and agricultural demand, with a projected 73.5% CAGR from 2024 to 2035.

New opportunities lie in:

  • Development of green ammonia production facilities utilizing solar energy
  • Partnerships with agricultural firms for ammonia-based fertilizers
  • Investment in ammonia transport and storage infrastructure enhancements

By 2035, the market is expected to be a leader in sustainable ammonia production.

Market Segmentation

Mexico Green Ammonia Market End Use Outlook

  • Agriculture
  • Transportation
  • Industrial
  • Power Generation

Mexico Green Ammonia Market Application Outlook

  • Fertilizer
  • Energy Storage
  • Fuel Cells
  • Power Generation

Mexico Green Ammonia Market Production Method Outlook

  • Electrolysis
  • Thermochemical
  • Biological
  • Chemical

Mexico Green Ammonia Market Distribution Channel Outlook

  • Direct Sales
  • Online Sales
  • Wholesale
  • Retail

Report Scope

MARKET SIZE 202431.34(USD Million)
MARKET SIZE 202554.37(USD Million)
MARKET SIZE 203513440.48(USD Million)
COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH RATE (CAGR)73.5% (2024 - 2035)
REPORT COVERAGERevenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
BASE YEAR2024
Market Forecast Period2025 - 2035
Historical Data2019 - 2024
Market Forecast UnitsUSD Million
Key Companies ProfiledNutrien (CA), Yara International (NO), CF Industries (US), BASF (DE), Siemens Energy (DE), Air Products and Chemicals (US), Haldor Topsoe (DK), KBR (US)
Segments CoveredApplication, End Use, Production Method, Distribution Channel
Key Market OpportunitiesGrowing demand for sustainable fertilizers and energy storage solutions in the Mexico green ammonia market.
Key Market DynamicsMexico's green ammonia market experiences growth driven by regulatory support and increasing demand for sustainable fertilizers.
Countries CoveredMexico

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FAQs

What is the expected market size of the Mexico Green Ammonia Market in 2024?

The Mexico Green Ammonia Market is expected to be valued at approximately 39.25 million USD in 2024.

What is the projected market size for the Mexico Green Ammonia Market by 2035?

By 2035, the Mexico Green Ammonia Market is anticipated to reach a value of about 1842.0 million USD.

What is the estimated CAGR for the Mexico Green Ammonia Market from 2025 to 2035?

The Mexico Green Ammonia Market is expected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 41.891% from 2025 to 2035.

Which technology segment is expected to dominate the Mexico Green Ammonia Market in 2024?

The Alkaline Water Electrolysis segment is anticipated to hold a significant portion of the market, valued at around 12.55 million USD in 2024.

What will be the market value of the Proton Exchange Membrane Electrolysis segment by 2035?

The Proton Exchange Membrane Electrolysis segment is projected to reach a market value of approximately 735.3 million USD by 2035.

Who are the key players in the Mexico Green Ammonia Market?

Key players in the market include Thyssenkrupp, Air Products and Chemicals, Acciona, Siemens Energy, and Yara International.

What challenges could impact the growth of the Mexico Green Ammonia Market?

Challenges may include regulatory hurdles, technological advancements, and competition from alternative energy sources.

What are some emerging trends in the Mexico Green Ammonia Market?

Emerging trends include increasing investment in renewable energy technologies and a rising focus on sustainable agricultural practices.

How will the Solid Oxide Electrolysis segment perform by 2035?

The Solid Oxide Electrolysis segment is expected to grow significantly, reaching a market value of about 510.6 million USD by 2035.

Is there a particular region in Mexico expected to show faster market growth?

While specific regions may vary, the overall trend suggests rapid growth across Mexico in line with national renewable energy goals.

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