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US low carbon hydrogen market

ID: MRFR/CnM/15673-HCR
100 Pages
Snehal Singh
October 2025

US Low Carbon Hydrogen Market Research Report By Process (Steam Methane Reforming (SMR), Autothermal Reforming, Biomass Reforming, Electrolysis, Photo Electric Chemical (PEC) Water Splitting, Thermochemical Water Splitting, Biomass Gasification, Coal Gasification, Methane Pyrolysis), By Energy Source (Natural Gas, Solar, Wind, Hybrid, Biomass, Geothermal, Hydro Energy, Tidal) and By End-Product (Hydrogen, Ammonia, Liquified Hydrogen, Methane, Methanol) - Forecast to 2035

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US low carbon hydrogen market Summary

As per Market Research Future analysis, the US low carbon-hydrogen market size was estimated at 4140.0 USD Million in 2024. The US low carbon-hydrogen market is projected to grow from 4802.4 USD Million in 2025 to 21190.0 USD Million by 2035, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16% during the forecast period 2025 - 2035

Key Market Trends & Highlights

The US low carbon-hydrogen market is poised for substantial growth driven by technological advancements and increasing demand for clean energy solutions.

  • Technological innovations in production are enhancing efficiency and reducing costs in the low carbon-hydrogen sector.
  • Policy support and regulatory frameworks are creating a favorable environment for investment and development in this market.
  • The largest segment is expected to be industrial applications, while the fastest-growing segment is anticipated to be transportation solutions.
  • Investment in infrastructure development and corporate sustainability initiatives are key drivers propelling market expansion.

Market Size & Forecast

2024 Market Size 4140.0 (USD Million)
2035 Market Size 21190.0 (USD Million)
CAGR (2025 - 2035) 16.0%

Major Players

Air Products (US), Linde (DE), Shell (GB), Siemens Energy (DE), Plug Power (US), ITM Power (GB), Nel ASA (NO), Hydrogenics (CA), Ballard Power Systems (CA), McPhy Energy (FR)

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US low carbon hydrogen market Trends

The low carbon-hydrogen market is currently experiencing a transformative phase, driven by a combination of technological advancements and policy initiatives aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions. As the demand for cleaner energy sources intensifies, various stakeholders, including government entities and private enterprises, are investing in innovative production methods. These methods, such as electrolysis and steam methane reforming with carbon capture, are gaining traction, suggesting a shift towards more sustainable practices. Furthermore, the integration of low carbon-hydrogen into existing energy systems appears to be a focal point for enhancing energy security and resilience. In addition, the low carbon-hydrogen market is likely to benefit from increasing collaboration among industry players, research institutions, and regulatory bodies. This collaborative approach may facilitate the development of infrastructure necessary for widespread adoption. Moreover, public awareness regarding climate change and the need for sustainable energy solutions is growing, which could further stimulate market growth. Overall, the landscape of the low carbon-hydrogen market is evolving, with numerous opportunities emerging for innovation and investment.

Technological Innovations in Production

Recent advancements in production technologies are reshaping the low carbon-hydrogen market. Innovations such as improved electrolysis methods and enhanced carbon capture techniques are becoming more prevalent. These developments not only increase efficiency but also reduce costs, making low carbon-hydrogen more accessible to various sectors.

Policy Support and Regulatory Frameworks

Government policies and regulations are playing a crucial role in the expansion of the low carbon-hydrogen market. Incentives for research and development, along with supportive frameworks for infrastructure development, are encouraging investments. This regulatory environment is likely to foster growth and attract new players.

Growing Demand for Clean Energy Solutions

The increasing emphasis on sustainability is driving demand for low carbon-hydrogen across multiple industries. As organizations seek to reduce their carbon footprints, low carbon-hydrogen is emerging as a viable alternative to traditional fossil fuels. This trend indicates a shift towards cleaner energy sources.

Market Segment Insights

By Process: Electrolysis (Largest) vs. Biomass Reforming (Fastest-Growing)

The US low carbon-hydrogen market exhibits a diverse array of processes contributing to hydrogen production. Among these, Electrolysis holds the largest market share, bolstered by advancements in renewable energy integration, while Biomass Reforming is recognized as the fastest-growing segment due to an increasing focus on sustainable fuel sources. The distribution highlights a competitive landscape where innovation and technology adoption play pivotal roles in shaping market dynamics. Growth trends indicate a significant shift towards decarbonization efforts across various industries, driving demand for low carbon-hydrogen. Factors such as policy support, investments in R&D, and the urgency to meet environmental goals are propelling segments like Electrolysis and Biomass Reforming. As clean energy technologies evolve, these processes are expected to see substantial adoption and scalability, fortifying their positions in the evolving energy sector.

Electrolysis (Dominant) vs. Biomass Reforming (Emerging)

Electrolysis stands out as a dominant process in the hydrogen production landscape, utilizing electricity to decompose water into hydrogen and oxygen, thus offering a zero-emission alternative when powered by renewable sources. Its maturity and scalability have garnered significant interest, supported by comprehensive state and federal incentives. On the other hand, Biomass Reforming is an emerging technology that converts organic materials into hydrogen, appealing due to its renewable nature and ability to use waste feedstocks. While still developing, this segment is rapidly gaining traction as businesses seek cost-effective and environmentally friendly options. The juxtaposition of these two processes illustrates the balance between established methods and innovative approaches in the quest for sustainable hydrogen solutions.

By Energy Source: Natural Gas (Largest) vs. Solar (Fastest-Growing)

In the US low carbon-hydrogen market, the market share distribution among various energy sources reveals a diverse landscape. Natural Gas leads as the largest segment with substantial contributions to hydrogen production, while Solar energy showcases significant growth, capturing increasing interest from stakeholders focused on sustainable solutions. Following these two, Wind, Hybrid, and Biomass represent important players, each contributing to the overall share and complementing renewable energy efforts. Growth trends in the US low carbon-hydrogen market indicate a shift towards more sustainable energy sources. The demand for cleaner alternatives drives innovation and investment in Solar and Wind technologies. Additionally, regulatory support and public awareness regarding the benefits of transitioning to low carbon sources are fueling the rapid expansion of the Hydrogen sector. As technology advances, hybrid systems integrating various energy sources are becoming increasingly appealing to governments and enterprises alike.

Natural Gas (Dominant) vs. Solar (Emerging)

Natural Gas remains the dominant energy source in the US low carbon-hydrogen market due to its existing infrastructure and relatively lower costs compared to other sources. It plays a critical role in bridging the gap towards a hydrogen economy by providing a reliable and efficient pathway for large-scale hydrogen production. In contrast, Solar energy, while emerging, is quickly gaining traction due to advancements in technology and decreasing costs. As Solar energy becomes more economically viable, its integration into hydrogen production processes is expected to rise, fostering innovation in hybrid systems that leverage both Natural Gas and Solar energy. The potential for large-scale Solar implementation presents opportunities for enhanced efficiency and sustainability in hydrogen production.

By End-Product: Hydrogen (Largest) vs. Ammonia (Fastest-Growing)

In the US low carbon-hydrogen market, Hydrogen accounts for the largest share, driven by its versatility in applications across various industries such as energy, transportation, and manufacturing. Ammonia follows closely as a significant contender, recognized for its potential in renewable energy storage and as a hydrogen carrier. This distribution highlights the essential roles both Hydrogen and Ammonia play in fostering a sustainable energy ecosystem. Growth trends indicate that Ammonia is emerging as the fastest-growing segment due to increasing investments in green ammonia production technologies and rising demand for sustainable fertilizers. The shift towards decarbonization and stringent regulations surrounding carbon emissions further solidify the significance of these end-products. As industries pivot towards low-carbon solutions, the US low carbon-hydrogen market is poised for dynamic transformations in the coming years.

Hydrogen (Dominant) vs. Ammonia (Emerging)

Hydrogen stands as the dominant end-product in the US low carbon-hydrogen market, characterized by its widespread applicability and essential role in decarbonization efforts. Its production methods, increasingly focusing on renewable resources, contribute to its competitive edge. Conversely, Ammonia is emerging as a crucial player, particularly in the context of hydrogen storage and transportation. The innovative production technologies, along with heightened interest from agricultural sectors, underline Ammonia's growth potential. Both segment values complement each other, as Hydrogen serves as a foundational element for many applications, while Ammonia's versatility positions it for rapid adoption in various industries looking to reduce carbon footprints.

Get more detailed insights about US low carbon hydrogen market

Key Players and Competitive Insights

The low carbon-hydrogen market is currently characterized by a dynamic competitive landscape, driven by increasing demand for sustainable energy solutions and stringent regulatory frameworks aimed at reducing carbon emissions. Major players such as Air Products (US), Linde (DE), and Plug Power (US) are strategically positioning themselves through innovation and partnerships to capture market share. Air Products (US) focuses on large-scale hydrogen production and has been investing heavily in infrastructure to support its hydrogen supply chain, while Linde (DE) emphasizes technological advancements in hydrogen production and distribution. Plug Power (US) is leveraging its expertise in fuel cell technology to expand its offerings in the low carbon-hydrogen space, indicating a collective shift towards integrated solutions that enhance operational efficiency and sustainability.Key business tactics within this market include localizing manufacturing and optimizing supply chains to reduce costs and improve delivery times. The competitive structure appears moderately fragmented, with several players vying for dominance. However, the influence of key players is significant, as they often set industry standards and drive technological advancements that smaller companies may follow. This competitive interplay fosters an environment where innovation is paramount, and companies are compelled to adapt quickly to changing market conditions.

In October Air Products (US) announced a partnership with a major automotive manufacturer to develop hydrogen fueling stations across the United States. This strategic move not only enhances Air Products' infrastructure capabilities but also aligns with the growing trend of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, potentially increasing demand for hydrogen as a clean fuel source. The collaboration underscores the importance of partnerships in expanding market reach and establishing a robust supply chain.

In September Linde (DE) unveiled a new hydrogen production facility in Texas, which is expected to significantly increase its production capacity. This facility utilizes advanced electrolysis technology, which is crucial for producing low carbon hydrogen. The establishment of this facility reflects Linde's commitment to scaling up production capabilities and meeting the rising demand for hydrogen in various sectors, including transportation and industrial applications.

In August Plug Power (US) secured a $100 million contract to supply hydrogen fuel cells for a fleet of delivery vehicles. This contract not only reinforces Plug Power's position in the market but also highlights the growing acceptance of hydrogen fuel cells in logistics and transportation. The strategic importance of this contract lies in its potential to drive further adoption of hydrogen technologies in commercial applications, thereby expanding the overall market.

As of November current competitive trends indicate a strong focus on digitalization, sustainability, and the integration of AI technologies within the low carbon-hydrogen market. Strategic alliances are increasingly shaping the landscape, as companies recognize the value of collaboration in achieving shared sustainability goals. Looking ahead, competitive differentiation is likely to evolve from traditional price-based competition to a focus on innovation, technological advancements, and supply chain reliability. This shift suggests that companies that prioritize R&D and strategic partnerships will be better positioned to thrive in an increasingly competitive environment.

Key Companies in the US low carbon hydrogen market include

Industry Developments

The US Low Carbon Hydrogen Market has recently witnessed significant developments, reflecting its growing importance in the energy sector. TotalEnergies is actively expanding its footprint in hydrogen production, while Ballard Power Systems continues to innovate in fuel cell technology. Companies like ExxonMobil and Shell are investing heavily in carbon capture and hydrogen generation to meet decarbonization targets. 

Air Products and Chemicals has recently announced partnerships to enhance hydrogen infrastructure, further strengthening their market position.Notably, in July 2023, Plug Power secured a major contract with a leading retailer for hydrogen fueling, emphasizing its growing influence in the market. Linde has also been pivotal, collaborating with NextEra Energy to leverage renewable resources for hydrogen generation. 

In terms of mergers and acquisitions, Chevron's acquisition of a minority stake in a hydrogen project was a key recent event in June 2023, showcasing a strategic move towards expanding its low carbon initiatives. Additionally, the Biden Administration's funding initiatives announced in September 2021 continue to drive market growth and innovation across various players including Bloom Energy and Occidental Petroleum, contributing to an increasingly dynamic landscape in the low carbon hydrogen sector.

Future Outlook

US low carbon hydrogen market Future Outlook

The low carbon-hydrogen market is projected to grow at a 16.0% CAGR from 2025 to 2035, driven by technological advancements, regulatory support, and increasing demand for clean energy solutions.

New opportunities lie in:

  • Development of hydrogen refueling infrastructure for transportation fleets.
  • Investment in hydrogen production from renewable sources.
  • Partnerships with industrial sectors for hydrogen integration in processes.

By 2035, the low carbon-hydrogen market is expected to be a pivotal component of the energy landscape.

Market Segmentation

US low carbon hydrogen market Process Outlook

  • Steam Methane Reforming (SMR)
  • Autothermal Reforming
  • Biomass Reforming
  • Electrolysis
  • Photo Electric Chemical (PEC) Water Splitting
  • Thermochemical Water Splitting
  • Biomass Gasification
  • Coal Gasification
  • Methane Pyrolysis

US low carbon hydrogen market End-Product Outlook

  • Hydrogen
  • Ammonia
  • Liquified Hydrogen
  • Methane
  • Methanol

US low carbon hydrogen market Energy Source Outlook

  • Natural Gas
  • Solar
  • Wind
  • Hybrid
  • Biomass
  • Geothermal
  • Hydro Energy
  • Tidal

Report Scope

MARKET SIZE 2024 4140.0(USD Million)
MARKET SIZE 2025 4802.4(USD Million)
MARKET SIZE 2035 21190.0(USD Million)
COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH RATE (CAGR) 16.0% (2025 - 2035)
REPORT COVERAGE Revenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
BASE YEAR 2024
Market Forecast Period 2025 - 2035
Historical Data 2019 - 2024
Market Forecast Units USD Million
Key Companies Profiled Air Products (US), Linde (DE), Shell (GB), Siemens Energy (DE), Plug Power (US), ITM Power (GB), Nel ASA (NO), Hydrogenics (CA), Ballard Power Systems (CA), McPhy Energy (FR)
Segments Covered Process, Energy Source, End-Product
Key Market Opportunities Advancements in electrolysis technology enhance efficiency in the low carbon-hydrogen market.
Key Market Dynamics Regulatory incentives drive investment and innovation in low carbon-hydrogen technologies, reshaping competitive dynamics.
Countries Covered US
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FAQs

What is the expected market size of the US Low Carbon Hydrogen Market in 2024?

The US Low Carbon Hydrogen Market is expected to be valued at 3.5 billion USD in 2024.

What is the projected market size for the US Low Carbon Hydrogen Market by 2035?

By 2035, the overall market size is projected to reach 27.8 billion USD.

What is the expected CAGR for the US Low Carbon Hydrogen Market from 2025 to 2035?

The market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 20.73 percent from 2025 to 2035.

Which process holds the largest market share in the US Low Carbon Hydrogen Market in 2024?

Steam Methane Reforming (SMR) is expected to be valued at 1.05 billion USD in 2024, making it the largest process segment.

What is the market value of Electrolysis in the US Low Carbon Hydrogen Market by 2035?

The market for Electrolysis is projected to reach 7.11 billion USD by 2035.

Who are the key players in the US Low Carbon Hydrogen Market?

Key players in the market include TotalEnergies, ExxonMobil, Shell, and Air Products and Chemicals among others.

What market value is projected for Autothermal Reforming by 2035?

Autothermal Reforming is projected to be valued at 6.39 billion USD by 2035.

What trends are emerging in the US Low Carbon Hydrogen Market?

Emerging trends include increasing investments in renewable energy and advancements in hydrogen production technologies.

What challenges does the US Low Carbon Hydrogen Market face?

The market faces challenges such as high production costs and the need for extensive infrastructure development.

What is the expected market size for Biomass Reforming by 2035?

Biomass Reforming is expected to reach a market size of 3.97 billion USD by 2035.

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