Revitalization Of Oil & Gas Industry
From 85 million barrels per day in 2006 to 118 million barrels per day in 2030, the world is projected to consume more oil. Emerging Asia (including China and India), which accounts for 45% of the global increase in oil consumption, is the main cause of the surge.
Between now and 2030, oil prices are predicted to stay within a range of US$ 50 and US$ 60 (based on business as normal; any disruption from war, terrorism, or weather will have a negative effect). This rate is significantly greater (on average) than what was observed over the previous 30 years. Oil corporations are prepared to invest more now that oil is more expensive in order to increase production. Due to a decline in investment between 1980 and 2000, offshore vessels have a poor spare capacity.
Large investments were made in offshore vessels during the beginning of the 1980s as a result of the high price of oil. But as the price of oil did not rise, these investments shrank in the years that followed. Because of this, utilization rates (of these older arteries) are exceedingly high as demand reaches a new level. All these factors collectively expected to drive the offshore black sea services over the forecast duration.
Rise In Number of Rigs/Offshore Leases
The percentage of active rigs is at an all-time high. A high drilling utilization rate is a sign that there will be a large demand for construction vessels because the exploration of oilfields is a risky and expensive operation. Demand for construction services typically lags exploratory drilling by six to eighteen months since it takes time to drill a well and construct a production platform.
A significant portion of the fleet of offshore vessels is currently older than 20 years old as a result of a lack of vessel investments over the previous 20 years. A large number of vessels will need to be replaced in the upcoming years because their average use-life is around 30 years. So even though there are a lot of ships ordered, many of them are likely to replace older ships already in service and so won't increase the number of ships that are available for usage.
In addition, evolving extraction conditions like greater depth result in a greater need for specialized equipment.
Overall Rise in Offshore Activity in Black Sea
Turkey's negotiation stance over its gas imports from Azerbaijan, Iran, and Russia has been boosted by TPAO's exploration results, allowing it more clout to demand lower prices, lower volumes, and increased contract flexibility.
In addition, the pipelines will be transported and installed by Saipem, with the pipelay vessel Castorone doing the majority of the work. Beginning next spring, offshore operations are anticipated.
Further, ExxonMobil and Romgaz concluded their exclusive discussions and came to an agreement on the acquisition's terms and circumstances in October. Upon closing of the deal, OMV Petrom will take over as operator. The purchase is anticipated to be finalised in the first quarter of 2022, pending approval. The deepwater Domino gas discovery is located in the Neptun Deep block, which Romgaz and OMV Petrom hope to jointly exploit. All these ongoing activities are expected to provide a lucrative opportunity for the market players over the forecast duration.
The Offshore Black Sea service providers market is poised for growth, driven by increasing energy demands and the strategic importance of the region in global energy security.
European Commission