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Green Diesel Market

ID: MRFR/EnP/9974-CR
128 Pages
Garvit Vyas
September 2023

Green Diesel Market Research Report Information by Feedstock (Vegetable Oil, Animal or Fish Fats, Agricultural Residue and Other Biomass), By Technology (Hydro-processing, Catalytic Upgrading, Pyrolysis, and Biomass to Liquid (BTL) Thermochemical Process (Gasification), By Type (Pure Form, and Blended Form), By Application (Fuel, Power Generation, Others) And By Region (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Middle East & Africa and South America) - Forecast Till 2035

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Green Diesel Market Infographic
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Green Diesel Market Summary

As per MRFR analysis, the Green Diesel Market Size was estimated at 34.62 USD Billion in 2024. The Green Diesel industry is projected to grow from 39.0 in 2025 to 128.33 by 2035, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.65 during the forecast period 2025 - 2035.

Key Market Trends & Highlights

The Green Diesel Market is poised for substantial growth driven by technological advancements and regulatory support.

  • North America remains the largest market for green diesel, driven by increasing investments in renewable energy technologies.
  • The Asia-Pacific region is emerging as the fastest-growing market, fueled by rising environmental awareness and government initiatives.
  • Vegetable oil serves as the largest feedstock segment, while animal and fish fats are gaining traction as the fastest-growing alternative.
  • Key market drivers include rising environmental concerns and government incentives that promote the adoption of renewable energy sources.

Market Size & Forecast

2024 Market Size 34.62 (USD Billion)
2035 Market Size 128.33 (USD Billion)
CAGR (2025 - 2035) 12.65%

Major Players

Neste (FI), Renewable Energy Group (US), Valero Energy Corporation (US), Cargill (US), TotalEnergies (FR), Phillips 66 (US), BASF (DE), Marathon Petroleum (US), SABIC (SA)

Green Diesel Market Trends

The Green Diesel Market is currently experiencing a notable transformation, driven by a combination of environmental concerns and regulatory frameworks aimed at reducing carbon emissions. This market appears to be gaining traction as consumers and industries alike increasingly prioritize sustainable energy sources. The shift towards green diesel is influenced by advancements in technology that enhance production efficiency and reduce costs. Furthermore, the growing awareness of climate change impacts seems to be propelling investments in renewable energy, thereby fostering a more favorable environment for green diesel adoption. In addition, the Green Diesel Market is likely to benefit from government incentives and policies that promote cleaner fuels. These initiatives may encourage the development of infrastructure necessary for the distribution and utilization of green diesel. As the market evolves, it could witness a diversification of feedstock sources, including waste oils and agricultural residues, which may enhance sustainability. Overall, the Green Diesel Market appears poised for growth, reflecting a broader trend towards eco-friendly energy solutions that align with global sustainability goals.

Technological Advancements

Recent innovations in production processes are enhancing the efficiency of green diesel manufacturing. These advancements may lead to reduced costs and improved yield, making green diesel more competitive with traditional fossil fuels.

Regulatory Support

Government policies and regulations are increasingly favoring renewable energy sources. This support could manifest in the form of subsidies, tax incentives, and mandates that promote the use of green diesel, thereby stimulating market growth.

Diverse Feedstock Utilization

The Green Diesel Market is likely to see a shift towards utilizing a wider variety of feedstocks, including waste materials and non-food crops. This diversification may enhance sustainability and reduce competition with food production.

Green Diesel Market Drivers

Rising Environmental Concerns

The increasing awareness of climate change and environmental degradation appears to be a primary driver for the Green Diesel Market. Consumers and businesses alike are becoming more conscious of their carbon footprints, leading to a heightened demand for sustainable fuel alternatives. This shift is reflected in the growing investments in renewable energy sources, with the green diesel sector projected to reach a market size of approximately USD 20 billion by 2026. As governments implement stricter emissions regulations, the Green Diesel Market is likely to benefit from a surge in demand for cleaner fuels, which could further accelerate its growth.

Government Incentives and Policies

Government incentives and supportive policies play a crucial role in shaping the Green Diesel Market. Many countries are introducing tax breaks, subsidies, and grants to encourage the production and use of green diesel. For instance, the implementation of renewable fuel standards has led to a significant increase in the adoption of biofuels, including green diesel. This regulatory framework not only promotes the use of sustainable fuels but also stimulates investment in production facilities. As a result, the Green Diesel Market is expected to expand, with projections indicating a compound annual growth rate of over 10% in the coming years.

Diverse Applications Across Industries

The versatility of green diesel across various industries is a significant driver for the Green Diesel Market. It is utilized not only in transportation but also in sectors such as agriculture, construction, and marine. This broad applicability enhances its market potential, as different industries seek to reduce their environmental impact. The increasing adoption of green diesel in heavy-duty vehicles and machinery is particularly noteworthy, as it aligns with the global push for cleaner operations. As more sectors recognize the benefits of green diesel, the market is likely to expand, with estimates suggesting a potential market size of USD 30 billion by 2030.

Technological Innovations in Production

Technological advancements in the production of green diesel are transforming the Green Diesel Market. Innovations such as improved catalytic processes and advanced feedstock conversion techniques are enhancing the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of green diesel production. These developments are crucial, as they enable producers to meet the rising demand for sustainable fuels while maintaining competitive pricing. The introduction of new technologies could potentially increase production capacity, allowing the Green Diesel Market to scale up operations. As a result, the market may witness a significant uptick in production volumes, further solidifying its position in the energy sector.

Growing Demand for Renewable Energy Sources

The Green Diesel Industry. As nations strive to reduce their reliance on fossil fuels, the demand for renewable alternatives, including green diesel, is on the rise. This trend is supported by the increasing adoption of renewable energy technologies, which are projected to account for a substantial share of the energy mix in the coming years. The Green Diesel Market stands to benefit from this transition, as more consumers and businesses seek sustainable fuel options. Market analysts suggest that the sector could experience a growth rate of around 12% annually, reflecting the increasing preference for renewable energy.

Market Segment Insights

By Feedstock: Vegetable Oil (Largest) vs. Animal or Fish Fats (Fastest-Growing)

In the Green Diesel Market, the distribution of feedstock plays a critical role in determining the diversity of fuel sources. Vegetable oil emerges as the largest contributor to green diesel production, driven by its widespread availability and established processing methods. In comparison, animal or fish fats are gaining traction and are noted for their increasing share in the market. This competitive landscape highlights the necessity for varied feedstock in meeting the growing demand for sustainable fuels.

Vegetable Oil (Dominant) vs. Animal or Fish Fats (Emerging)

Vegetable oil stands as the dominant feedstock in the Green Diesel Market due to its high oil yield and well-understood refining processes. This source is prevalent among producers looking to meet sustainability targets effectively. Meanwhile, animal or fish fats are emerging as a significant alternative, particularly due to advancements in processing technologies and an increasing focus on waste reduction. Their use not only adds value to by-products but also broadens the feedstock base, thus enhancing the overall sustainability of green diesel production.

By Technology: Hydro-processing (Largest) vs. Catalytic Upgrading (Fastest-Growing)

The Green Diesel Market exhibits a diverse distribution across various technologies. Hydro-processing leads the segment due to its established capabilities in producing high-quality green diesel from various feedstocks. This technology captures a significant share as it demonstrates superior efficiency and compatibility with existing refinery infrastructures. Meanwhile, Catalytic Upgrading is gaining traction, recognized for its ability to convert biomass into renewable fuels more efficiently, thus attracting investments and interest from energy producers seeking sustainable alternatives. Growth trends in the Green Diesel Market are being propelled by increasing regulatory support for renewable fuels and a surge in consumer demand for sustainable energy sources. Hydro-processing remains dominant due to its proven track record, whereas Catalytic Upgrading is emerging as the fastest-growing technology segment. Factors like technological advancements, government incentives, and a shift towards carbon-neutral energy will further accelerate the adoption of these technologies, enhancing their market presence and competitiveness.

Technology: Hydro-processing (Dominant) vs. Catalytic Upgrading (Emerging)

Hydro-processing is recognized as the dominant technology in the Green Diesel Market, known for its effectiveness in converting a wide variety of feedstocks—such as vegetable oils and animal fats—into high-quality green diesel with minimal processing costs. Due to its integration capabilities with existing oil refinery setups, hydro-processing touches on both efficiency and economic viability. Conversely, Catalytic Upgrading, considered an emerging technology, is gaining popularity for its innovative approach to biomass conversion. It transforms organic matter into crude oil using catalytic processes, showcasing a remarkable ability to handle diverse biomass feedstocks. With increasing environmental concerns driving policy changes and investments, both technologies are poised for significant roles in shaping the future of sustainable diesel production.

By Type: Pure Form (Largest) vs. Blended Form (Fastest-Growing)

In the Green Diesel Market, the type segment is predominantly led by Pure Form diesel, which holds the largest market share due to its ability to be used directly in existing diesel engines without modification. This segment appeals to consumers focused on sustainability and efficiency. In contrast, the Blended Form, combining conventional diesel with green diesel, is rapidly gaining traction as a cost-effective and eco-friendly alternative, catering to a diverse customer base looking for transitional options towards complete sustainability.

Type: Pure Form (Dominant) vs. Blended Form (Emerging)

The Pure Form segment of green diesel is characterized by its high purity, allowing it to provide superior performance comparable to traditional fossil fuels while significantly reducing greenhouse gas emissions. This segment is appealing to sectors such as transportation and industrial machinery where operational efficiency is crucial. On the other hand, the Blended Form represents a growing niche within the market, offering increased flexibility and appealing to customers seeking immediate sustainability solutions without the need for extensive modifications. This segment attracts a broader audience by providing a feasible bridge to more sustainable fuel options.

By Application: Fuel (Largest) vs. Power Generation (Fastest-Growing)

In the Green Diesel Market, the application segment is mainly dissected into Fuel, Power Generation, and Others. Among these, Fuel holds the lion's share of the market, benefiting significantly from the rising demand for eco-friendly transportation solutions. Power Generation, while currently smaller in share, is rapidly gaining momentum owing to the move towards renewable energy sources and initiatives to lower carbon emissions. Others represent niche applications that continue to capture a portion of the market, particularly in specialized industrial uses. The growth trajectory for the Green Diesel Market application segment is primarily driven by environmental regulations and technological advancements in fuel production and application. The shift towards renewable energy in power generation is prompting substantial investments in green diesel technologies, making it a strong contender for future growth. Fuel remains essential for transportation, but trends suggest an increasing preference for sustainable energy sources. This dual trajectory is setting the stage for robust market evolution in both areas, further solidified by supportive government policies and evolving consumer preferences.

Fuel (Dominant) vs. Power Generation (Emerging)

The Fuel segment in the Green Diesel Market stands as the dominant application, primarily driven by the extensive use of green diesel in various transportation modes, including road, rail, and maritime sectors. With rising concerns over climate change and the need for sustainable energy solutions, fuel’s share has solidified its position at the forefront of market growth. Conversely, the Power Generation segment is emerging rapidly, spurred by new technologies that enhance energy production efficiency and environmental sustainability. Investments in infrastructure and a global shift towards renewable energy sources position power generation as a crucial growth area. The greener nature of diesel makes it attractive for energy producers looking to comply with strict emissions standards, indicating a vibrant future for both segments in the green diesel landscape.

Get more detailed insights about Green Diesel Market

Regional Insights

North America : Leading Green Diesel Market Innovators

North America is the largest market for green diesel, holding approximately 45% of the global share. The region's growth is driven by stringent environmental regulations, increasing demand for renewable energy, and significant investments in biofuel technologies. The U.S. government has implemented various incentives to promote the use of renewable diesel, further catalyzing market expansion. The United States is the leading country in this sector, with major players like Renewable Energy Group and Valero Energy Corporation dominating the landscape. The competitive environment is characterized by continuous innovation and partnerships aimed at enhancing production efficiency. Companies are increasingly focusing on sustainable practices to meet consumer demand and regulatory requirements.

Europe : Regulatory Framework Driving Growth

Europe is the second-largest market for green diesel, accounting for about 30% of the global market share. The region's growth is propelled by ambitious climate goals, including the European Green Deal, which aims to make Europe the first climate-neutral continent by 2050. This regulatory framework encourages investments in renewable energy sources, including green diesel, to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Leading countries in Europe include Germany, France, and the Netherlands, where companies like TotalEnergies and BASF are key players. The competitive landscape is marked by a strong emphasis on sustainability and innovation, with firms investing in advanced technologies to enhance production capabilities. The presence of supportive government policies further strengthens the market position of green diesel in Europe.

Asia-Pacific : Emerging Markets in Biofuels

Asia-Pacific is rapidly emerging as a significant player in the green diesel market, holding approximately 20% of the global share. The region's growth is driven by increasing energy demands, government initiatives promoting renewable energy, and rising awareness of environmental issues. Countries like China and India are leading the charge, implementing policies to boost biofuel production and consumption. China is the largest market in the region, with substantial investments in green diesel technologies. The competitive landscape features both local and international players, including Cargill and Phillips 66, who are expanding their operations to meet the growing demand. The region's focus on sustainability and energy security is expected to further enhance its market position in the coming years.

Middle East and Africa : Resource-Rich Opportunities

The Middle East and Africa region is gradually developing its green diesel market, currently holding about 5% of the global share. The growth is primarily driven by the region's abundant natural resources and increasing investments in renewable energy projects. Countries like South Africa and Saudi Arabia are beginning to explore green diesel as part of their energy diversification strategies, supported by government initiatives aimed at reducing carbon emissions. In South Africa, the government is promoting biofuels to enhance energy security and sustainability. The competitive landscape is still in its nascent stages, with key players like SABIC exploring opportunities in green diesel production. As awareness of environmental issues grows, the region is expected to see increased investments and developments in this sector.

Green Diesel Market Regional Image

Key Players and Competitive Insights

Major market players are spending a lot of money on R&D to increase their product lines, which will help Green Diesel Market grow even more. Market participants are also taking a range of strategic initiatives to grow their worldwide footprint, including new product launches, contractual agreements, mergers and acquisitions, increased investments, and collaboration with other organizations. Competitors in the Green Diesel Industry are expanding their market presence globally as the market is expected to boom in the future.

One of the primary business strategies adopted by manufacturers in the global Green Diesel Industry to benefit clients and expand the Green Diesel Market sector is to manufacture locally to reduce operating costs.

Neste Oyj (Finland) is an oil refining and marketing company. Neste Oyj is one of the largest producers of green diesel (renewable Diesel) and jet fuel in the world. The company makes use of waste, residues, and innovative raw materials to produce various oil products using its proprietary NEXBTL technology, a platform that allows us to turn a wide variety of renewable fats and oils into premium-quality renewable products, such as fuels and feedstock for polymers and chemicals production. Neste MY Renewable Diesel™ can be used as a drop-in solution to replace fossil diesel, as their chemical compositions are similar.

Neste manufactures its high-quality products in Finland, the Netherlands, and Singapore.

Shell is a global group of energy and petrochemical companies. Shell Refiners can process 100% bio-feeds into profitable green diesel (renewable diesel) and sustainable aviation fuel with our hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) technology.  Shell has introduced renewable diesel in several areas, including Europe and the US.

Vegetable oils and used cooking fats are only two of the many feedstocks the company uses to make renewable diesel (green diesel). The low-carbon renewable diesel (green diesel) offered by Shell emits fewer greenhouse gases than conventional diesel made from petroleum. The development and use of renewable energies are part of Shell’s commitment to investing in green energy and lowering its carbon impact.

Key Companies in the Green Diesel Market market include

Industry Developments

February 2023 Eni Sustainable Mobility and PBF Energy Inc. today entered into definitive agreements to partner in a 50-50 joint venture, St. Bernard Renewables LLC (SBR), for biorefinery currently under construction located near PBF’s Chalmette Refinery in Louisiana (US).

The St. Bernard Renewables biorefinery startup is scheduled in the first half of 2023 and the facility is targeted to have a processing capacity of about 1.1 million tonnes/year of raw materials, to produce mainly HVO Diesel (Hydrotreated Vegetable Oil, commonly known as ‘renewable diesel’ (green diesel) in North America), with a production capacity of 306 million gallons per year.

January 2023 Valero Energy Corporation commissioned and started production from Diamond Green Diesel Market Holdings LLC (DGD). The facility produced 470 million gal/year of renewable diesel and 20 million gal/year of renewable naphtha plant at the operator’s 395,000-b/d refinery in Port Arthur, Tex. in the fourth quarter of 2022.

September 2021 Royal Dutch Shell plc (Shell) announced the decision to build an 820,000-tonnes-a-year biofuels facility at the Shell Energy and Chemicals Park Rotterdam, the Netherlands, formerly known as the Pernis refinery. The facility is expected to be among the biggest in Europe to produce sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and renewable diesel (green diesel) made from waste. A facility of such capacity can produce sufficient renewable diesel (green diesel) to avoid 2,800,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions a year.

Future Outlook

Green Diesel Market Future Outlook

The Green Diesel Market is projected to grow at a 12.65% CAGR from 2024 to 2035, driven by regulatory support, technological advancements, and increasing demand for sustainable fuels.

New opportunities lie in:

  • Expansion of production facilities utilizing advanced feedstock technologies.
  • Development of strategic partnerships with logistics companies for distribution.
  • Investment in R&D for innovative green diesel applications in aviation.

By 2035, the Green Diesel Market is expected to achieve substantial growth, positioning itself as a leader in sustainable energy solutions.

Market Segmentation

Green Diesel Market Type Outlook

  • Pure Form
  • Blended Form

Green Diesel Market Feedstock Outlook

  • Vegetable Oil
  • Animal or Fish Fats
  • Agricultural Residue
  • Other Biomass

Green Diesel Market Technology Outlook

  • Hydro-processing
  • Catalytic Upgrading
  • Pyrolysis
  • Biomass to Liquid (BTL) Thermochemical Process (Gasification)

Green Diesel Market Application Outlook

  • Fuel
  • Power Generation
  • Others

Report Scope

MARKET SIZE 202434.62(USD Billion)
MARKET SIZE 202539.0(USD Billion)
MARKET SIZE 2035128.33(USD Billion)
COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH RATE (CAGR)12.65% (2024 - 2035)
REPORT COVERAGERevenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
BASE YEAR2024
Market Forecast Period2025 - 2035
Historical Data2019 - 2024
Market Forecast UnitsUSD Billion
Key Companies ProfiledMarket analysis in progress
Segments CoveredMarket segmentation analysis in progress
Key Market OpportunitiesIncreasing demand for sustainable fuels drives innovation in the Green Diesel Market.
Key Market DynamicsRising regulatory pressures and technological advancements drive the expansion of the green diesel market.
Countries CoveredNorth America, Europe, APAC, South America, MEA

Market Highlights

Author
Garvit Vyas
Analyst

Explore the profile of Garvit Vyas, one of our esteemed authors at Market Research Future, and access their expert research contributions in the field of market research and industry analysis

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FAQs

What is the projected market valuation of the Green Diesel Market by 2035?

The Green Diesel Market is projected to reach a valuation of 128.33 USD Billion by 2035.

What was the market valuation of the Green Diesel Market in 2024?

In 2024, the Green Diesel Market was valued at 34.62 USD Billion.

What is the expected CAGR for the Green Diesel Market during the forecast period 2025 - 2035?

The expected CAGR for the Green Diesel Market during the forecast period 2025 - 2035 is 12.65%.

Which companies are considered key players in the Green Diesel Market?

Key players in the Green Diesel Market include Neste, Renewable Energy Group, Valero Energy Corporation, Cargill, TotalEnergies, Phillips 66, BASF, Marathon Petroleum, and SABIC.

What are the main feedstock segments in the Green Diesel Market and their valuations?

The main feedstock segments include Vegetable Oil valued at 38.0 USD Billion, Animal or Fish Fats at 30.0 USD Billion, Agricultural Residue at 35.0 USD Billion, and Other Biomass at 25.33 USD Billion.

What technologies are utilized in the Green Diesel Market and their respective valuations?

Technologies in the Green Diesel Market include Hydro-processing valued at 38.0 USD Billion, Catalytic Upgrading at 30.0 USD Billion, Pyrolysis at 20.0 USD Billion, and Biomass to Liquid Thermochemical Process at 40.33 USD Billion.

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