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    Green Diesel Market

    ID: MRFR/E&P/9974-CR
    128 Pages
    Garvit Vyas
    September 2023

    Green Diesel Market Research Report Information by Feedstock (Vegetable Oil, Animal or Fish Fats, Agricultural Residue and Other Biomass), By Technology (Hydro-processing, Catalytic Upgrading, Pyrolysis, and Biomass to Liquid (BTL) Thermochemical Process (Gasification), By Type (Pure Form, and Blended Form), By Application (Fuel, Power Generation, Others) And By Region (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Middle East & Africa and South America) - Forecast Till 2035

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    Green Diesel Market Infographic
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    Green Diesel Market Summary

    As per Market Research Future Analysis, the Global Green Diesel Market was valued at USD 27.30 Billion in 2022 and is projected to grow from USD 30.73 Billion in 2023 to USD 70.33 Billion by 2030, exhibiting a CAGR of 12.65% during the forecast period. The market is driven by the increasing demand for environmentally friendly fuels, rapid depletion of fossil fuels, and government initiatives promoting renewable energy. The vegetable oil segment accounted for approximately 40-45% of the market revenue in 2022, while hydro-processing technology dominated the market. North America held the largest market share, valued at USD 4.07 Billion in 2022, with significant growth expected due to favorable government policies and initiatives.

    Key Market Trends & Highlights

    The Green Diesel Market is witnessing significant trends driven by biofuel adoption and technological advancements.

    • Global energy usage is projected to increase by nearly 50% by 2050, boosting demand for renewable energy sources.
    • Biofuels are expected to account for 64% of the transport sector's renewable energy consumption by 2050.
    • The blended form of green diesel dominated the market in 2022, while the pure form is projected to grow faster during 2023-2030.
    • North America is expected to exhibit a 19.20% CAGR during the study period, driven by government policies and renewable fuel demand.

    Market Size & Forecast

    2022 Market Size USD 27.30 Billion
    2023 Market Size USD 30.73 Billion
    2030 Market Size USD 70.33 Billion
    CAGR (2023-2030) 12.65%

    Major Players

    Major players include Neste Oyj, Chevron Corporation, Valero Energy Corporation, Gevo, Inc., Phillips 66, and Shell Plc.

    Green Diesel Market Trends

    Growing Prevalence of Biofuels in energy consumption

    With increasing urbanization and rapid industrialization there is a significant increase in demand for energy. According to the U. S. Energy Information Association, global energy usage is projected to increase by nearly 50% by the year 2050. While with growing environmental awareness among individuals and the government authorities’ various initiatives and measures are being undertaken to support growth in a sustainable manner.

    Green diesel, one of the alternative energy products, is a second generation of biofuel, with the market expansion of biofuels the green diesel market is also expected to trend during the forecast period. According to Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Scenario biofuels are expected to make up to 64% of the transport sectors’ renewable energy consumption.

    The biofuel consumption is expected to triple between 2019 to 2030 to 12 EJ in the 2050 scenario. According to Statista, the global biofuel market was valued at about 110 billion USD in 2021, and with growing global demand the market is forecast to reach up to 201 billion USD by 2030. Hence with the growing biofuel market and increasing use of biofuels for renewable energy consumption, the global market for green diesel is expected to boom during the forecast period.

    As a result, the growing prevalence of biofuels in energy consumption is likely to fuel the expansion of the Green Diesel market revenue.

    The transition towards sustainable energy sources appears to be accelerating, with green diesel emerging as a pivotal alternative to conventional fossil fuels, driven by stringent regulatory frameworks and increasing environmental awareness.

    U.S. Department of Energy

    Green Diesel Market Drivers

    Market Growth Projections

    The Global Green Diesel Market Industry is poised for substantial growth, with projections indicating a market valuation of 34.1 USD Billion in 2024 and an anticipated increase to 127.6 USD Billion by 2035. This growth trajectory suggests a compound annual growth rate of 12.73% from 2025 to 2035, reflecting the increasing adoption of renewable fuels across various sectors. The market's expansion is driven by a combination of factors, including rising demand for sustainable energy solutions, technological advancements, and supportive government policies. As the industry evolves, it is likely to attract further investments and innovations, solidifying its role in the global energy landscape.

    Growing Environmental Concerns

    Increasing environmental concerns regarding air quality and climate change are pivotal drivers of the Global Green Diesel Market Industry. As urban populations grow, so do the levels of vehicular emissions, prompting governments and organizations to seek cleaner alternatives. Green diesel, derived from renewable sources, offers a lower carbon footprint compared to conventional diesel. This shift towards sustainable transportation fuels aligns with global efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Consequently, the market is expected to gain traction as consumers and businesses prioritize environmentally friendly options, further solidifying green diesel's position in the energy landscape.

    Rising Demand for Renewable Fuels

    The Global Green Diesel Market Industry experiences a notable surge in demand for renewable fuels as countries strive to meet stringent environmental regulations and climate goals. This shift is driven by the increasing awareness of the adverse effects of fossil fuels on climate change. For instance, the European Union has set ambitious targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions, which has led to a growing preference for green diesel over traditional diesel. This trend is expected to contribute to the market's growth, with projections indicating that the industry could reach a valuation of 34.1 USD Billion in 2024.

    Government Incentives and Policies

    Government incentives and supportive policies play a crucial role in shaping the Global Green Diesel Market Industry. Many countries are implementing tax credits, subsidies, and mandates to promote the use of renewable fuels. For example, the Renewable Fuel Standard in the United States mandates a specific volume of renewable fuel to be blended into transportation fuel. Such policies not only encourage the production and consumption of green diesel but also provide a stable market environment for investors. This supportive regulatory framework is likely to drive the market's expansion, contributing to its projected growth to 127.6 USD Billion by 2035.

    Expansion of Infrastructure for Biofuels

    The expansion of infrastructure for biofuels is a significant factor influencing the Global Green Diesel Market Industry. As the demand for green diesel rises, investments in production facilities, distribution networks, and refueling stations are becoming increasingly essential. Countries are recognizing the need for a robust infrastructure to support the growth of renewable fuels. For instance, the establishment of dedicated biofuel blending terminals and distribution channels enhances the accessibility of green diesel to consumers. This infrastructure development is likely to facilitate market penetration and adoption, thereby contributing to the overall growth of the green diesel sector.

    Technological Advancements in Production

    Technological innovations in the production of green diesel significantly influence the Global Green Diesel Market Industry. Advanced processes such as hydrotreatment and transesterification enhance the efficiency and yield of biofuel production. These technologies allow for the conversion of various feedstocks, including waste oils and fats, into high-quality green diesel. As production methods become more efficient, the cost of green diesel is likely to decrease, making it a more attractive option for consumers and businesses alike. This could further stimulate market growth, with expectations of a compound annual growth rate of 12.73% from 2025 to 2035.

    Market Segment Insights

    Green Diesel Feedstock Insights

    The Green Diesel Market segmentation, based on feedstock, includes vegetable oil, animal or fish fats, agricultural residue, and other biomass. The vegetable oil segment held the majority share in 2022 contributing to around ~40-45% with respect to the Green Diesel Market revenue. This is because Vegetable oils have high energy density and similar chemical composition to petroleum derivatives, making them the perfect widely available renewable feedstock for biofuel production such as green diesel.

    However, the market use of animal or fish fast feedstock is expected to grow during the forecast period as animal fat waste are potential low-cost feedstock for commercial green diesel (second generation of biofuel) production.

    Green Diesel Technology Insights

    Based on technology, the global green diesel segmentation includes hydro-processing, catalytic upgrading, pyrolysis, and biomass-to-liquid (BTL) thermochemical process (gasification). The hydro-processing segment dominated the market in 2022 and is expected to continue to dominate the market during the forecast period.

    Currently, commercial production facilities are using the hydrotreating pathway. It is increasingly becoming a common path of production also due to the legislations present in the US and European Union. The products of this technology have improved characteristics, such as high heating value and cetane number, and increased oxidation stability.

    Green Diesel Type Insights

    The Green Diesel Market data has been bifurcated by type largely into pure form and blended form. The blended form segment dominated the market in 2022 however, with increasing production the pure form is projected to be the faster-growing segment during the forecast period, 2023-2030.

    The blended form is created by combining, green diesel (renewable diesel) with biodiesel or even with petro-diesel. Green diesel (renewable diesel) has the same chemical molecular structure as petroleum, therefore being easily blended. For instance, Chevron Renewable Diesel Blend, offered by Chevron Corporation, is made with at least 80% renewable diesel (green diesel) and up to 20% biodiesel, with no more than 1% conventional petroleum diesel.

    Green Diesel Application Insights

    The Green Diesel Market data has been bifurcated by application into fuel, power generation, and others. The fuel segment dominated the market in 2022 and is projected to be the faster-growing segment during the forecast period, 2023-2030. This is because renewable biofuels such as green diesel are growing replacements for conventional diesel, renewable diesel meets the conventional petroleum ASTM D975 specification making it feasible to be used in existing automotive infrastructure and diesel engines. With renewable diesel reduced both carbon dioxide and nitrogen oxide emissions when compared with petroleum diesel in fuel applications.

    Figure 2: Green Diesel Market, by Application, 2021 & 2030 (USD Billion)Source: Secondary Research, Primary Research, Market Research Future Database and Analyst Review

    Green Diesel Insights

    By Region, the Green Diesel Market industry study segments the market into North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Middle East & Africa, and South America. North America Green Diesel Market accounted for USD 4.07 billion in 2022 and is expected to exhibit a 19.20 % CAGR during the study period. This is attributed to government policies and initiatives to promote sustainable and affordable sources of fuel as well as growing renewable fuel demand.

    Further, the major countries studied are the U.S, Canada, Germany, France, UK, Italy, Spain, China, Japan, India, Australia, South Korea, and Brazil.

    Get more detailed insights about Green Diesel Market

    Key Players and Competitive Insights

    Major market players are spending a lot of money on R&D to increase their product lines, which will help Green Diesel grow even more. Market participants are also taking a range of strategic initiatives to grow their worldwide footprint, including new product launches, contractual agreements, mergers and acquisitions, increased investments, and collaboration with other organizations. Competitors in the Green Diesel Industry are expanding their market presence globally as the market is expected to boom in the future.

    One of the primary business strategies adopted by manufacturers in the global Green Diesel Industry to benefit clients and expand the Green Diesel Market sector is to manufacture locally to reduce operating costs.

    Neste Oyj (Finland) is an oil refining and marketing company. Neste Oyj is one of the largest producers of green diesel (renewable Diesel) and jet fuel in the world. The company makes use of waste, residues, and innovative raw materials to produce various oil products using its proprietary NEXBTL technology, a platform that allows us to turn a wide variety of renewable fats and oils into premium-quality renewable products, such as fuels and feedstock for polymers and chemicals production. Neste MY Renewable Diesel™ can be used as a drop-in solution to replace fossil diesel, as their chemical compositions are similar.

    Neste manufactures its high-quality products in Finland, the Netherlands, and Singapore.

    Shell is a global group of energy and petrochemical companies. Shell Refiners can process 100% bio-feeds into profitable green diesel (renewable diesel) and sustainable aviation fuel with our hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) technology.  Shell has introduced renewable diesel in several areas, including Europe and the US.

    Vegetable oils and used cooking fats are only two of the many feedstocks the company uses to make renewable diesel (green diesel). The low-carbon renewable diesel (green diesel) offered by Shell emits fewer greenhouse gases than conventional diesel made from petroleum. The development and use of renewable energies are part of Shell’s commitment to investing in green energy and lowering its carbon impact.

    Key Companies in the Green Diesel Market market include

    Industry Developments

    February 2023 Eni Sustainable Mobility and PBF Energy Inc. today entered into definitive agreements to partner in a 50-50 joint venture, St. Bernard Renewables LLC (SBR), for biorefinery currently under construction located near PBF’s Chalmette Refinery in Louisiana (US).

    The St. Bernard Renewables biorefinery startup is scheduled in the first half of 2023 and the facility is targeted to have a processing capacity of about 1.1 million tonnes/year of raw materials, to produce mainly HVO Diesel (Hydrotreated Vegetable Oil, commonly known as ‘renewable diesel’ (green diesel) in North America), with a production capacity of 306 million gallons per year.

    January 2023 Valero Energy Corporation commissioned and started production from Diamond Green Diesel Holdings LLC (DGD). The facility produced 470 million gal/year of renewable diesel and 20 million gal/year of renewable naphtha plant at the operator’s 395,000-b/d refinery in Port Arthur, Tex. in the fourth quarter of 2022.

    September 2021 Royal Dutch Shell plc (Shell) announced the decision to build an 820,000-tonnes-a-year biofuels facility at the Shell Energy and Chemicals Park Rotterdam, the Netherlands, formerly known as the Pernis refinery. The facility is expected to be among the biggest in Europe to produce sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and renewable diesel (green diesel) made from waste. A facility of such capacity can produce sufficient renewable diesel (green diesel) to avoid 2,800,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions a year.

    Future Outlook

    Green Diesel Market Future Outlook

    The Global Green Diesel Market is projected to grow at a 12.73% CAGR from 2024 to 2035, driven by increasing environmental regulations, technological advancements, and rising demand for sustainable fuels.

    New opportunities lie in:

    • Invest in advanced feedstock technologies to enhance production efficiency.
    • Develop strategic partnerships with automotive manufacturers for integrated green diesel solutions.
    • Expand distribution networks in emerging markets to capitalize on growing demand.

    By 2035, the Green Diesel Market is expected to achieve substantial growth, positioning itself as a key player in the sustainable energy sector.

    Market Segmentation

    Green Diesel Type Outlook

    • Pure Form
    • Blended Form

    Green Diesel Regional Outlook

    North America
    • US
    • Canada
    Europe
    • Germany
    • France
    • UK
    • Italy
    • Spain
    • Rest of Europe
    Asia-Pacific
    • China
    • Japan
    • India
    • Australia
    • South Korea
    • Rest of Asia-Pacific
    Middle East & Africa
    • Turkey
    • Israel
    • North Africa
    • GCC
    • Rest of the Middle East & Africa
    South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Mexico
    • Rest of South America

    Green Diesel Feedstock Outlook

    • Vegetable Oil
    • Animal or Fish Fats
    • Agricultural Residue
    • Other Biomass

    Green Diesel Technology Outlook

    • Hydro-processing
    • Catalytic Upgrading
    • Pyrolysis
    • Biomass to Liquid (BTL) Thermochemical Process (Gasification)

    Green Diesel Application Outlook

    • Fuel
    • Power Generation
    • Others

    Report Scope

    Report Attribute/Metric Details
    Market Size 2022 USD 27.30 billion
    Market Size 2023 USD 30.73billion
    Market Size 2030 USD 70.33 billion
    Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) 12.65% (2022-2030)
    Base Year 2022
    Forecast Period 2023-2030
    Historical Data 2019 - 2021
    Forecast Units Value (USD Billion)
    Report Coverage Revenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
    Segments Covered Feedstock, Technology, Type, Application and Region
    Geographies Covered North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa, and South America
    Countries Covered The U.S, Canada, Germany, France, UK, Italy, Spain, China, Japan, India, Australia, South Korea, and, Turkey, GCC, Brazil, and Argentina
    Key Companies Profiled  Neste, Chevron Corporation, Valero Energy Corporation, Gevo, Inc., Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, Aemetis, Inc., Global Clean Energy Holdings, Inc., Shell Plc, PBF Energy Inc., Honeywell International Inc., Eni
    Key Market Opportunities Potential increase in sustainability in the transport fuel sector
    Key Market Dynamics Growing demand for environment-friendly fuel Rapidly depleting fossil fuel supply

    Market Highlights

    Author
    Garvit Vyas
    Analyst

    Explore the profile of Garvit Vyas, one of our esteemed authors at Market Research Future, and access their expert research contributions in the field of market research and industry analysis

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    FAQs

    How much is the Green Diesel market?

    As of 2022, Green Diesel is worth USD $27.30 Billion.

    What is the growth rate of the Green Diesel Market?

    The green diesel market is growing at a CAGR of 12.56%.

    Which region held the largest market share in the Green Diesel Market?

    The North America region holds the largest market share in Green Diesel Market.

    Who are the key players in Green Diesel Market?

    Neste Oyj, Chevron Corporation, Valero Energy Corporation, Gevo, Inc., and Phillips 66, are some of the prominent players in the market.

    Which technology led the Green Diesel Market?

    The hydro-processing technology in the green diesel market is leading commercial market growth.

    Which application has the largest market share in the Green Diesel Market?

    The Fuel segment application has the largest market share.

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