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    Ducted Heat Pump Market

    ID: MRFR/IA - E/28602-HCR
    100 Pages
    Snehal Singh
    October 2025

    Ducted Heat Pump Market Research Report By Installation Type (New Installations, Replacement Installations), By Capacity (Up to 5 tons, 5-10 tons, 10-15 tons, 15 tons and above), By Application (Residential, Commercial, Industrial), By Efficiency Rating (SEER 13-16, SEER 16-18, SEER 18-21, SEER 21 and above) and By Regional (North America, Europe, South America, Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa) - Forecast to 2035

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    Ducted Heat Pump Market Summary

    The Global Ducted Heat Pump Market is projected to grow from 10.77 USD Billion in 2024 to 20.67 USD Billion by 2035, indicating robust expansion.

    Key Market Trends & Highlights

    Ducted Heat Pump Key Trends and Highlights

    • The market is expected to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.11 percent from 2025 to 2035.
    • By 2035, the market valuation is anticipated to reach 20.7 USD Billion, reflecting a substantial increase from the base year.
    • in 2024, the market is valued at 10.77 USD Billion, showcasing the current demand for ducted heat pump systems.
    • Growing adoption of energy-efficient heating solutions due to rising environmental concerns is a major market driver.

    Market Size & Forecast

    2024 Market Size 10.77 (USD Billion)
    2035 Market Size 20.67 (USD Billion)
    CAGR (2025-2035) 6.11%

    Major Players

    Mitsubishi Electric, Daikin, Rheem, Lennox, Fujitsu, Trane, Carrier, York, Gree Electric, Haier, Samsung, LG Electronics, Midea Group, Johnson Controls, Hisense

    Ducted Heat Pump Market Trends

    Key market drivers for ducted heat pumps include rising energy costs and increasing consumer awareness of energy efficiency. Ducted heat pumps offer a cost-effective way to heat and cool a home, as they are able to transfer heat from one area to another without losing energy. In addition, ducted heat pumps are relatively easy to install and maintain, making them a popular choice for homeowners.

    Opportunities for growth in the ducted heat pump market include the increasing popularity of smart home technologies and the growing demand for renewable energy solutions. Smart home technologies allow homeowners to control their ducted heat pump remotely, which can save energy and improve comfort. In addition, ducted heat pumps can be used to generate renewable energy by using solar panels to power the unit.

    Recent trends in the ducted heat pump market include the development of more efficient models and the introduction of new features. For example, some models now come with built-in air purifiers and humidifiers, which can improve indoor air quality. In addition, ducted heat pumps are becoming increasingly popular in commercial applications, as they offer a cost-effective way to heat and cool large spaces.

    The global ducted heat pump market appears poised for growth as energy efficiency standards tighten and consumer preferences shift towards sustainable heating solutions.

    U.S. Department of Energy

    Ducted Heat Pump Market Drivers

    Market Growth Projections

    The Global Ducted Heat Pump Market Industry is projected to witness substantial growth over the coming years. With a market value anticipated to reach 10.8 USD Billion in 2024 and potentially 20.7 USD Billion by 2035, the industry is on a robust upward trajectory. This growth is supported by a compound annual growth rate of 6.11% from 2025 to 2035, indicating a strong demand for ducted heat pump systems. Factors contributing to this growth include technological advancements, increased awareness of energy efficiency, and a focus on sustainable practices. The market's expansion reflects a broader trend towards innovative heating solutions in both residential and commercial sectors.

    Growing Demand for Energy Efficiency

    The Global Ducted Heat Pump Market Industry is experiencing a surge in demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions. As consumers and businesses alike seek to reduce energy consumption and lower utility bills, ducted heat pumps present an attractive option. These systems utilize advanced technology to provide efficient temperature control, which is particularly appealing in regions with extreme climates. The market is projected to reach 10.8 USD Billion in 2024, reflecting a growing awareness of energy efficiency. This trend is likely to continue, as governments worldwide implement stricter energy regulations and incentivize the adoption of sustainable technologies.

    Rising Awareness of Indoor Air Quality

    The Global Ducted Heat Pump Market Industry is also influenced by the growing awareness of indoor air quality. Consumers are becoming more conscious of the impact of heating and cooling systems on air quality, leading to a preference for ducted heat pumps that provide better filtration and ventilation. These systems can effectively reduce allergens and pollutants, contributing to healthier indoor environments. As public health concerns continue to rise, the demand for systems that enhance air quality is expected to grow. This trend may further bolster the market, as consumers seek solutions that not only provide comfort but also promote well-being.

    Technological Advancements in Heat Pump Systems

    Technological innovations play a pivotal role in the Global Ducted Heat Pump Market Industry. Recent advancements in inverter technology, smart thermostats, and enhanced refrigerants have significantly improved the performance and efficiency of ducted heat pumps. These innovations not only enhance user experience but also contribute to lower operational costs. For instance, the integration of IoT technology allows for remote monitoring and control, making these systems more user-friendly. As these technologies become more prevalent, the market is expected to grow, potentially reaching 20.7 USD Billion by 2035, driven by consumer preference for modern, efficient heating solutions.

    Increased Focus on Sustainable Building Practices

    The Global Ducted Heat Pump Market Industry is benefiting from a heightened focus on sustainable building practices. As urbanization accelerates and environmental concerns mount, builders and developers are increasingly incorporating energy-efficient systems into new constructions. Ducted heat pumps align well with green building standards, offering a sustainable alternative to traditional heating and cooling methods. This shift is supported by government incentives and regulations aimed at reducing carbon footprints. Consequently, the market is likely to experience a compound annual growth rate of 6.11% from 2025 to 2035, as more projects prioritize sustainability and energy efficiency.

    Expansion of Residential and Commercial Construction

    The Global Ducted Heat Pump Market Industry is poised for growth due to the expansion of residential and commercial construction activities. As new buildings are constructed, there is an increasing opportunity to install ducted heat pump systems, which are favored for their efficiency and effectiveness. This trend is particularly evident in regions experiencing population growth and urban development. The construction sector's recovery and expansion are likely to drive demand for advanced heating solutions, contributing to the market's overall growth trajectory. The combination of new construction and the replacement of outdated systems is expected to significantly impact market dynamics.

    Market Segment Insights

    Ducted Heat Pump Market Installation Type Insights  

    Installation Type Segment Insights and Overview The Ducted Heat Pump Market segmentation by installation type comprises new installations and replacement installations. New installations refer to the integration of ducted heat pumps in newly constructed buildings or during significant renovations where a heating and cooling system is not already in place. On the other hand, replacement installations involve swapping out an existing heating and cooling system with a ducted heat pump in existing buildings. 

    The demand for new installations is primarily driven by the increasing construction activities in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors.Government initiatives promoting energy efficiency and sustainability further stimulate the adoption of ducted heat pumps in new buildings. For instance, in the United States, the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 includes tax credits for the installation of energy-efficient heating and cooling systems, making ducted heat pumps more affordable for homeowners. Replacement installations represent a significant growth opportunity for the Ducted Heat Pump Market.

    As existing buildings age, their heating and cooling systems may become less efficient or require costly repairs.Replacing these systems with ducted heat pumps offers substantial energy savings, improved comfort, and reduced maintenance costs. 

    The rising awareness about the benefits of ducted heat pumps among homeowners and businesses is driving the demand for replacement installations. In 2023, the new installations segment accounted for a larger share of the Ducted Heat Pump Market revenue, owing to the increasing construction activities worldwide. However, the replacement installations segment is expected to witness a higher growth rate during the forecast period from 2024 to 2032.Factors such as the aging building stock, rising energy costs, and government incentives for energy-efficient upgrades are contributing to the growth of the replacement installations segment. 

    Overall, the installation type segment provides valuable insights into the diverse needs and preferences of customers in the Ducted Heat Pump Market. Understanding the dynamics of each segment enables manufacturers and distributors to tailor their offerings and marketing strategies to meet specific customer requirements.

    Source: Primary Research, Secondary Research, Market Research Future Database and Analyst Review

    Ducted Heat Pump Market Capacity Insights  

    The Ducted Heat Pump Market segmentation by capacity comprises Up to 5 tons, 5-10 tons, 10-15 tons, and 15 tons and above. The 5-10 tons segment held the largest market share in 2023, accounting for around 35% of the Ducted Heat Pump Market revenue. The growing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions in residential and commercial buildings is driving the growth of this segment. Additionally, government regulations and incentives promoting the adoption of sustainable technologies are further contributing to the segment's growth.

    The Up to 5 tons segment is expected to witness the highest growth rate during the forecast period, owing to the increasing popularity of ductless mini-split systems in small spaces and renovations. The 10-15 tons and 15 tons and above segments cater to larger commercial and industrial applications and are expected to grow steadily over the coming years. Overall, the Capacity segment outlook appears promising, with rising demand for energy-efficient and sustainable heating and cooling solutions across various end-use sectors.

    Ducted Heat Pump Market Application Insights  

    The application segment of the Ducted Heat Pump Market is categorized into residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. Among these, the residential sector held the largest market share in 2023 and is anticipated to maintain its dominance throughout the forecast period. The increasing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling systems in residential buildings, coupled with government initiatives promoting sustainable solutions, is driving the growth of this segment. The commercial segment is projected to witness significant growth due to the rising need for efficient HVAC systems in commercial buildings, such as offices, retail stores, and hotels.

    The industrial segment is expected to experience steady growth as ducted heat pumps offer cost-effective and environmentally friendly temperature control in industrial facilities, such as factories and warehouses. Overall, the Ducted Heat Pump Market is expected to exhibit promising growth prospects, driven by the increasing adoption of energy-efficient technologies and government regulations promoting sustainable practices.

    Ducted Heat Pump Market Efficiency Rating Insights  

    The Efficiency Rating segment is a crucial aspect of the Ducted Heat Pump Market segmentation, offering insights into the market's performance and consumer preferences. Among the various efficiency ratings, SEER 13-16, SEER 16-18, SEER 18-21, and SEER 21 and above are notable categories. Ducted heat pumps with SEER ratings of 18 and above are witnessing significant growth due to their enhanced energy efficiency, leading to reduced operating costs and lower environmental impact. 

    As a result, the demand for these higher-efficiency models is anticipated to drive market growth in the coming years, contributing to the overall Ducted Heat Pump Market revenue.Market data suggests that the SEER 18-21 segment is projected to hold a substantial market share in 2024 and beyond, owing to its optimal balance of efficiency and affordability.

    Get more detailed insights about Ducted Heat Pump Market

    Regional Insights

    The regional landscape of the Ducted Heat Pump Market reveals diverse market dynamics across key regions. North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and MEA collectively contribute to the overall market growth. In 2023, North America dominated the market with a revenue share of around 35%, followed by Europe with approximately 28%.

    APAC is projected to exhibit the highest CAGR of 7.2% during the forecast period, driven by rising demand for energy-efficient heating solutions in developing economies like China and India. South America and MEA are anticipated to grow at a moderate pace, with increasing urbanization and government initiatives promoting sustainable heating systems.

    Ducted Heat Pump Market Regional Insights

    Source: Primary Research, Secondary Research, Market Research Future Database and Analyst Review

    Key Players and Competitive Insights

    Major players in the Ducted Heat Pump Market industry are constantly striving to gain a competitive edge by investing in research and development, expanding their product offerings, and entering into strategic partnerships and acquisitions. Leading Ducted Heat Pump Market players are focusing on developing innovative products that cater to the evolving needs of customers and meet the growing demand for energy-efficient solutions. The Ducted Heat Pump Market development is also influenced by the increasing adoption of smart home technologies and the integration of IoT devices.

    Companies are leveraging these technologies to offer advanced features and functionalities in their Ducted Heat Pump Market products, such as remote control, monitoring, and diagnostics. 

    Competitive Landscape is characterized by a mix of well-established players and emerging companies. Key players are focusing on expanding their geographical reach and establishing a strong distribution network to increase their market share.Mitsubishi Electric is a leading player in the Ducted Heat Pump Market market. The company offers a wide range of ducted heat pumps for residential and commercial applications. Mitsubishi Electric's ducted heat pumps are known for their high efficiency, reliability, and durability. The company has a strong presence in North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific.

    Mitsubishi Electric is committed to providing innovative and energy-efficient solutions to its customers and is continuously investing in research and development to improve its product offerings.Daikin is a major competitor in the Ducted Heat Pump Market market. 

    The company offers a comprehensive range of ducted heat pumps for a variety of applications. Daikin's ducted heat pumps are known for their advanced features, such as variable speed compressors, inverter technology, and smart controls. The company has a global presence and is committed to providing high-quality products and services to its customers. Daikin is continuously investing in research and development to improve its product offerings and meet the evolving needs of its customers.

    Key Companies in the Ducted Heat Pump Market market include

    Industry Developments

    The Ducted Heat Pump Market is projected to grow from USD 10.77 billion in 2024 to USD 19.48 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 6.11%. The market growth is attributed to factors such as rising energy efficiency regulations, increasing demand for sustainable heating and cooling solutions, and growing construction activities. 

    Key market players include Daikin Industries, Mitsubishi Electric, Samsung Electronics, LG Electronics, and Gree Electric Appliances. Recent news developments include the launch of new high-efficiency ducted heat pumps by Daikin and Mitsubishi Electric and the acquisition of ClimateMaster by NIBE Industrier in 2022. Emerging trends in the market include the integration of smart technologies and the adoption of natural refrigerants.

    Future Outlook

    Ducted Heat Pump Market Future Outlook

    The Ducted Heat Pump Market is projected to grow at a 6.11% CAGR from 2025 to 2035, driven by increasing energy efficiency demands, technological advancements, and regulatory support for sustainable heating solutions.

    New opportunities lie in:

    • Develop smart ducted heat pump systems integrating IoT for enhanced energy management.
    • Expand into emerging markets with tailored solutions for diverse climatic conditions.
    • Invest in R&D for high-efficiency models to meet evolving environmental standards.

    By 2035, the Ducted Heat Pump Market is expected to achieve substantial growth, reflecting evolving consumer preferences and regulatory frameworks.

    Market Segmentation

    Ducted Heat Pump Market Capacity Outlook

    • Up to 5 tons
    • 5-10 tons
    • 10-15 tons
    • 15 tons and above

    Ducted Heat Pump Market Application Outlook

    • Residential
    • Commercial
    • Industrial

    Ducted Heat Pump Market Efficiency Rating Outlook

    • SEER 13-16
    • SEER 16-18
    • SEER 18-21
    • SEER 21 and above
    • North America
    • Europe
    • South America
    • Asia Pacific
    • Middle East and Africa

    Ducted Heat Pump Market Installation Type Outlook

    • New Installations
    • Replacement Installations

    Report Scope

    Report Attribute/Metric Details
    Market Size 2024   10.77 (USD Billion)
    Market Size 2025   11.42 (USD Billion)
    Market Size 2035 20.67 (USD Billion)
    Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) 6.11% (2025 - 2035)
    Report Coverage Revenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
    Base Year 2024
    Market Forecast Period 2025 - 2035
    Historical Data 2019 - 2023
    Market Forecast Units USD Billion
    Key Companies Profiled Rheem, Lennox, Fujitsu, Trane, Carrier, York, Gree Electric, Haier, Samsung, Daikin, LG Electronics, Mitsubishi Electric, Midea Group, Johnson Controls, Hisense
    Segments Covered Installation Type, Capacity, Application, Efficiency Rating, Regional
    Key Market Opportunities Government incentives Energy efficiency Smart home integration Growing demand in developing economies Technological advancements
    Key Market Dynamics Demand for energy efficiency Government incentives Rising urbanization Technological advancements Increasing consumer awareness
    Countries Covered North America, Europe, APAC, South America, MEA

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    FAQs

    What is the expected market size of the Ducted Heat Pump Market in 2023?

    The Ducted Heat Pump Market is expected to reach USD 10.77 billion in 2024.

    What is the projected CAGR of the Ducted Heat Pump Market from 2024 to 2032?

    The Ducted Heat Pump Market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 6.11% from 2025 to 2034.

    Which region is expected to hold the largest market share in the Ducted Heat Pump Market in 2023?

    North America is expected to hold the largest market share in the Ducted Heat Pump Market in 2023.

    What are the key applications of ducted heat pumps?

    Key applications of ducted heat pumps include space heating, space cooling, and water heating.

    Who are some of the key competitors in the Ducted Heat Pump Market?

    Key competitors in the Ducted Heat Pump Market include Daikin, Mitsubishi Electric, and Carrier.

    What are the major factors driving the growth of the Ducted Heat Pump Market?

    Major factors driving the growth of the Ducted Heat Pump Market include increasing energy efficiency regulations and rising demand for convenience.

    What are the challenges facing the growth of the Ducted Heat Pump Market?

    Challenges facing the growth of the Ducted Heat Pump Market include high upfront costs and a lack of awareness about the benefits of ducted heat pumps.

    What are the opportunities for growth in the Ducted Heat Pump Market?

    Opportunities for growth in the Ducted Heat Pump Market include increasing government incentives and technological advancements.

    What is the expected market size of the Ducted Heat Pump Market in 2032?

    The Ducted Heat Pump Market is expected to reach USD 19.48 billion by 2034.

    What is the impact of government regulations on the Ducted Heat Pump Market?

    Government regulations, such as energy efficiency standards, play a significant role in driving the adoption of ducted heat pumps.

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