Global market valuation was derived through revenue mapping, patient population epidemiology analysis, and treatment volume modeling. The methodology included:
Identification of 35+ key manufacturers and emerging biotechs across North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific specializing in CFTR modulators, gene therapy, and supportive care medications
Product mapping across CFTR modulators (potentiators, correctors, stabilizers), mucolytics, bronchodilators, antibiotics (inhaled and systemic), and pancreatic enzyme supplements, with specific analysis of Vertex Pharmaceuticals' portfolio dominance (Trikafta/Kaftrio, Orkambi, Symdeko, Kalydeco) and emerging competitors
Analysis of reported and modeled annual revenues specific to cystic fibrosis therapeutic portfolios, including gene therapy candidates in Phase I/II
Coverage of manufacturers and gene therapy developers representing 75-80% of global cystic fibrosis market share in 2024
Epidemiological bottom-up modeling utilizing country-specific patient registry data (US CFF Registry, ECFS Registry, UK CF Registry) to determine treated versus untreated populations, segmented by age (pediatric vs. adult), mutation class (F508del homozygous, heterozygous, minimal function), and disease severity
Pricing analysis across oral CFTR modulators, inhaled antibiotics, and pancreatic enzyme supplements by region, incorporating value-based pricing and orphan drug premium structures
Extrapolation using bottom-up (country-specific CF prevalence × diagnosis rate × treatment penetration × annual drug cost/ASP) and top-down (manufacturer revenue validation, pharmaceutical sales data) approaches to derive segment-specific valuations for CFTR modulators versus supportive care medications