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Ethanol Market Size

ID: MRFR//5835-HCR | 140 Pages | Author: Priya Nagrale| May 2024

The ethanol market is subject to a prefix of factors that depending on their overall effect, determine its specific features. However, uncertain demand from other biofuel consumers represents a vital factor that confronts sugarcane industry in Africa. With climate change and environmental safety top of mind in this modern era, developing renewable energy resources has gained much attention. Therefore, ethanol is among the technologies taking a major part in this process. A specific purpose of a government policies and regulations is to guide the ethanol market. The provision of subsidies, tax incentives and mandatory blending ratios of ethanol, mainly contribute to the biofuel production besides the consumption. Size of the Ethanol Market, in USD, was amount of 85.90 billion in 2021. Ethanol industry will be from the current USD 90.10 Billion (2022) to USD 125.94 Billion in 2030, with an average growth rate of 4.90% per year during the period.

The agricultural landscape is another key element to consider when determining the prospects of ethanol market. Unlike ethanol which is derived from crops such as corn and sugarcane, methanol is produced from biomass resources like waste Straw, wood, and municipal solid waste. The volatility in crop produces that is induced by weather factors or pests alters not only the availability of the feedstock for ethanol and make them be at higher price or lower in supply. The high dependency of ethanol market on agriculture makes it vulnerable to any supply chain disruption which is a thing that should be analyzed in this regard as this will give a clue on how to improve sustainable agriculture practices.

One of the most significant determinant factors of the ethanol market is usually the energy market crude oil price which has a direct influence on prices of ethanol. When crude oil prices increase, ethanol as a bio-fuel will be of its mainstream use and become more commercially viable and competitive. Moreover, in the event of lower oil prices, ethanol could face a stumbling block in further reducing the production cost. Hence, it is necessary to maintain a knowledge of the energy marketplace overall, which will enable the organizers to pre-empt and make smart choices in this field.

Technological improvements deliver equally as many the necessary ability in the ethanol market. Innovations in the production processes of ethanol, for instance, methods in which the fermentation technology is improved or the use of advanced enzymes can potentially change the ethanol production from conventional to more effective and sustainable one. On the other side, the creation of engines that make cars more cooperative with the higher ethanol blends is not left behind and it is what's fueling this market's expansion. Research and development works in the areas that seek to improve ethanol product overall efficiency as well as the environmental footprint are crucial inclusions for the growth of the industry.

Global Ethanol Market Overview


Ethanol Market Size was valued at USD 85.90 billion in 2021. The ethanol industry is projected to grow from USD 90.10 Billion in 2022 to USD 125.94 billion by 2030, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.90% during the forecast period (2022 - 2030). rising consumption of alcoholic beverages and the growing use of ethanol as a bio-fuel product are the key market drivers enhancing the market growth.


Ethanol Market Overview


Source: Secondary Research, Primary Research, MRFR Database, and Analyst Review


Ethanol Market Trends




  • Rapid use of ethanol as a fuel to boost the market growth




It is anticipated that increasing ethanol use as fuel will hasten market growth for ethanol. The vehicle industry has seen significant growth in recent years because of advancements in the design of small, high-efficiency motors. It has, however, had a lot of problems with lowering air pollution. The problem of rising auto air pollution is solved by blending ethanol with gasoline and other pricey fuel additives. The demand for ethanol as a biofuel is growing since it is easily produced. This makes it a more cost-effective, clean energy source than the byzantine process required to create gasoline and diesel. In order to reduce engine knocking, bio-ethanol is also employed in the automotive industry as an octane booster.


The aviation industry also benefited from the chance to experiment with ethanol blending, leading to a substantial advancement in fuel innovation. Due to the widespread supply of raw components, ethanol production is an economical process. It is feasible to replace a sizeable portion of the crude oil imported from nations like India, where raw materials are produced in large quantities.


Figure 1: Production and Consumption of Ethanol in the U.S. from 2018-2021 (million gallons)


Production and Consumption of Ethanol in the U.S. from 2018-2021 (million gallons)


Source: Secondary Research, Primary Research, MRFR Database, and Analyst Review


However, ethyl alcohol-containing beverages, which were once considered to be luxury goods, are now gradually evolving into a necessity in the majority of homes around the world. Last but not least, a government program to support the production of self-sufficient fuel and to promote the development of new businesses have increased ethanol sales throughout the world during the forecast period. Therefore, such increasing trends of production and consumption in the U.S. has enhanced the ethanol market CAGR across the globe in recent years. Moreover, the expansion of the food and beverages industry is another factor driving the growth of the ethanol market revenue.


Ethanol Market Segment Insights


Ethanol Type Insights


The ethanol market segmentation, based on feedstock, includes coarse grains, sugar cane, wheat, and molasses. The coarse grains segment held the majority share in 2021 contributing to around ~35-45% in respect the ethanol market revenue. Easy access to corn and maize and the development of effective technologies have accelerated the segment's expansion. Dry milling is the main method used to make grain-based ethanol, and one bushel of maize can provide 2.86 gallons of denatured ethanol. As producers address issues related to yields and demand saturation, corn production is anticipated to slow down ly.


January 2023: Two Delhi-based companies would invest Rs 295 crore in Chhattisgarh to build ethanol and power plants as well as nutritional supplements and fortified grains. For the construction of the factories, the governments of Unity Industries Private Limited and Suruchi Foods Private Limited have signed Memorandums of Understanding (MoUs).


Ethanol Application Insights


The ethanol market segmentation, based on application, includes industrial solvents, fuel, and fertilizer. The fuel segment dominated the market in 2021 and the industrial solvent is projected to be the faster-growing segment during the forecast period, 2022-2030. This is due to the increasing demand for the chemical, which is used to make gasoline additives to increase fuel economy, which is being driven by both the expanding demand for vehicle fuel and the evolving rules aimed at lowering air pollution. Hence, Due to its widespread use in important end-use sectors, the industrial solvent is one of the applications that is steadily expanding. The expanding demand from the paint & coatings and medicines industries is anticipated to have a favorable effect on the total demand. Future application segment growth will be heavily influenced by macroeconomic issues including governmental regulations and federal bank restrictions for ethanol positively impacts the market growth.


February 2019: In Saint-Pierre, Réunion Island, Albioma announced the industrial commissioning of the first peak-load combustion turbine (CT) running primarily on bioethanol. The CT uses two types of fuel: bioethanol (80%), which is made locally at the Rivière du Mât distillery by distilling sugarcane molasses, and diesel fuel (20%), which is used to start the turbine. This type of announcement has further broadened the growth opportunity for the ethanol industry.


Figure 2:  Ethanol Market, by Application, 2021 & 2030 (USD Billion)


Ethanol Market, by Application, 2021 & 2030


Source: Secondary Research, Primary Research, MRFR Database, and Analyst Review


Additionally, in the near future, it is anticipated that legislation relating to environmental safety in both developed and emerging economies, along with rising demand from the automobile sector, will accelerate segment growth. Additionally, the application segment for beverages will grow at a sizable CAGR over the course of the projection period. The increase in demand for ethanol-based beverages in industrialized nations around the world is blamed for the expansion of the market.


Ethanol Regional Insights


By Region, the study provides market insights into North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and the Rest of the World. The Asia-Pacific Ethanol market accounted for USD 37.88 billion in 2021 and is expected to exhibit a significant CAGR growth during the study period. This is attributed to the increased fuel consumption and growing industrial activities across the region.


Further, the major countries studied in the market report are The U.S, Canada, Germany, France, UK, Italy, Spain, China, Japan, India, Australia, South Korea, and Brazil.


Figure 3:  ETHANOL MARKET SHARE BY REGION 2021 (%)ETHANOL MARKET SHARE BY REGION


Source: Secondary Research, Primary Research, MRFR Database, and Analyst Review


North America's ethanol market accounts for the second-largest market share due to the presence of various types of industries in the region with a growing economy anticipated to positively impact the market growth in the North American region. Further, the United States ethanol market held the largest market share, and the Canada ethanol market was the fastest-growing market in the North American region.


The Latin America Ethanol Market is expected to grow at a significant CAGR from 2022 to 2030. This is due to the plentiful supply of raw materials and growing demand for products from the automotive sector. It is anticipated that the regional environmental restrictions will improve ethanol consumption in end-use industries. Moreover, Brazil ethanol market held the largest market share.


Ethanol Key Market Players & Competitive Insights


Major market players are spending a lot of money on R&D to increase their product lines, which will help the ethanol market grow even more. Market participants are also taking a range of strategic initiatives to grow their worldwide footprint, with key market developments such as new product launches, contractual agreements, mergers and acquisitions, increased investments, and collaboration with other organizations. Competitors in the ethanol industry must offer cost-effective fuel to expand and survive in an increasingly competitive and rising market environment.


One of the primary business strategies adopted by manufacturers in the ethanol industry to benefit various industries and expand the market sector is to manufacture locally to reduce operating costs. In recent years, the ethanol industry has provided fuel with environmental benefits. The ethanol market major player such as Kirin Holdings Company (Japan), Aventine Renewable Energy (US), United Breweries (India), Archer Daniels Midland Company (US), The Andersons, British Petroleum (UK), Advanced BioEnergy LLC (US), Cargill Corporation (US), VeraSun Renewable Energy (US), Pernod Richard (France), and others are working to expand the market demand by investing in research and development activities.


An integrated beverage firm from Japan is called Kirin Brewery Company, Limited. The Kirin Holdings Company, Limited's subsidiary owns it. Kirin Brewery Company, Limited, Mercian Corporation, and Kirin Beverages Company, Limited are some of its principal operating divisions. A member of the Mitsubishi Group is Kirin. In May 2020, the new coronavirus epidemic has prevented Asahi Breweries Ltd. and Kirin Brewery Co. from shipping draught beer to restaurants and other businesses. They have now declared that they will work together to produce alcohol disinfection for medical facilities from this beer.


Also, the Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, also known as ADM, is a multinational American corporation that was established in 1902 and has its corporate headquarters in Chicago, Illinois. The company's more than 270 processing facilities and 420 crop procurement locations worldwide transform cereal grains and oilseeds into products utilized in the food, beverage, nutraceutical, industrial, and animal feed sectors. For instance, in February 2022, officials from the local, state, and federal levels of government joined ADM and Marathon Petroleum Corp. in celebrating the groundbreaking for North Dakota's first specific plant for processing soybeans. The plant, which is owned by the previously disclosed ADM-MPC joint venture Green Bison Soy Processing, is anticipated to begin harvesting soybeans in 2023 and produce roughly 600 million pounds of refined vegetable oil annually. This oil will be supplied solely to MPC as a feedstock for renewable diesel.


Key Companies in the ethanol market include



  • Kirin Holdings Company (Japan)

  • Aventine Renewable Energy (US)

  • United Breweries (India)


  • Archer Daniels Midland Company (US)

  • The Andersons

  • British Petroleum (UK)

  • Advanced BioEnergy LLC (US)


  • Cargill Corporation (US)

  • VeraSun Renewable Energy (US)

  • Pernod Richard (France), among others


Ethanol Industry Developments


August 2019: The state of Maharashtra has requested authorization from the national government of India to allow sugar plants there to turn sugar stock into ethanol.



Ethanol Market Segmentation:


Ethanol Feedstock Outlook



  • Coarse Grains

  • Sugar Crane

  • Wheat

  • Molasses


Ethanol Application Outlook



  • Industrial Solvent

  • Fuel

  • Fertilizer


Ethanol End-Use Industry Outlook



  • Automotive

  • Food and Beverages

  • Personal Care and Cosmetics


Ethanol Regional Outlook



  • North America

    • US

    • Canada



  • Europe

    • Germany

    • France

    • UK

    • Italy

    • Spain

    • Rest of Europe



  • Asia-Pacific

    • China

    • Japan

    • India

    • Australia

    • South Korea

    • Australia

    • Rest of Asia-Pacific



  • Rest of the World

    • Middle East

    • Africa

    • Latin America



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