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    Ductless HVAC system Market

    ID: MRFR/E&P/1336-HCR
    100 Pages
    Snehal Singh
    October 2025

    Ductless HVAC System Market Research Report Information By Equipment Type (Heating, Ventilation, and Cooling), By Implementation Type (New Commercial and Retrofit), By Application (Residential, Commercial, and Industrial), And By Region (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, And Rest Of The World) – Global Industry Size, Share, Growth, Trends and Forecast To 2035

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    Ductless HVAC system Market Infographic

    Ductless HVAC system Market Summary

    As per MRFR analysis, the Ductless HVAC System Market Size was estimated at 60.06 USD Billion in 2024. The Ductless HVAC industry is projected to grow from 64.03 in 2025 to 121.34 by 2035, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.6 during the forecast period 2025 - 2035.

    Key Market Trends & Highlights

    <p>The Ductless HVAC System Market is poised for substantial growth driven by energy efficiency and technological advancements.</p>

    • The North American region remains the largest market for ductless HVAC systems, reflecting a strong demand for energy-efficient solutions.
    • In the Asia-Pacific region, the market is experiencing rapid growth, fueled by increasing urbanization and rising disposable incomes.
    • The cooling segment continues to dominate the market, while the heating segment is emerging as the fastest-growing area due to evolving consumer preferences.
    • Key market drivers include increasing consumer awareness of indoor air quality and regulatory support for energy efficiency initiatives.

    Market Size & Forecast

    2024 Market Size 60.06 (USD Billion)
    2035 Market Size 121.34 (USD Billion)
    CAGR (2025 - 2035) 6.6%

    Major Players

    Mitsubishi Electric (JP), Daikin Industries (JP), LG Electronics (KR), Fujitsu General (JP), Panasonic Corporation (JP), Samsung Electronics (KR), Trane Technologies (IE), Carrier Global Corporation (US), Gree Electric Appliances (CN)

    Ductless HVAC system Market Trends

    The Ductless HVAC System Market is currently experiencing a notable transformation, driven by a combination of technological advancements and shifting consumer preferences. As energy efficiency becomes increasingly paramount, ductless systems are emerging as a viable alternative to traditional HVAC solutions. These systems offer flexibility in installation and operation, appealing to both residential and commercial sectors. Furthermore, the growing awareness of environmental sustainability is prompting consumers to seek out energy-efficient options, which ductless systems readily provide. This trend is likely to continue as more individuals and businesses prioritize reducing their carbon footprints. In addition to energy efficiency, the Ductless HVAC System Market is witnessing a rise in demand for smart technology integration. Consumers are increasingly inclined towards systems that offer remote control capabilities and smart home compatibility. This integration not only enhances user convenience but also optimizes energy consumption. As manufacturers innovate and introduce advanced features, the market is poised for further growth. Overall, the Ductless HVAC System Market appears to be on a trajectory of expansion, driven by evolving consumer needs and technological progress.

    Rising Demand for Energy Efficiency

    The Ductless HVAC System Market is seeing a growing preference for energy-efficient solutions. Consumers are increasingly aware of the environmental impact of their choices, leading to a shift towards systems that minimize energy consumption. This trend is likely to drive innovation and competition among manufacturers.

    Integration of Smart Technology

    There is a noticeable trend towards the incorporation of smart technology within ductless HVAC systems. Consumers are seeking systems that offer remote access and compatibility with smart home devices. This integration enhances user experience and promotes energy savings.

    Focus on Sustainable Practices

    The Ductless HVAC System Market is aligning with broader sustainability goals. Manufacturers are adopting eco-friendly materials and practices in production. This focus on sustainability resonates with consumers who prioritize environmentally responsible products.

    The increasing emphasis on energy efficiency and environmental sustainability is driving the adoption of ductless HVAC systems, which offer flexible installation options and reduced energy consumption.

    U.S. Department of Energy

    Ductless HVAC system Market Drivers

    Regulatory Support for Energy Efficiency

    The Ductless HVAC System Market benefits from a favorable regulatory landscape that increasingly emphasizes energy efficiency. Governments are implementing stringent energy efficiency standards and offering incentives for the adoption of energy-efficient technologies. Ductless HVAC systems, known for their lower energy consumption compared to traditional systems, align well with these regulations. Recent statistics indicate that energy-efficient HVAC systems can reduce energy usage by up to 30%, making them an attractive option for both residential and commercial applications. This regulatory support not only encourages consumers to invest in ductless systems but also propels the Ductless HVAC System Market towards sustainable growth.

    Technological Advancements in HVAC Systems

    The Ductless HVAC System Market is witnessing rapid technological advancements that enhance system performance and user experience. Innovations such as variable refrigerant flow technology and smart thermostats are becoming increasingly prevalent. These advancements allow for more precise temperature control and improved energy efficiency. Market data suggests that systems equipped with smart technology can reduce energy consumption by as much as 20%. As consumers seek more efficient and user-friendly solutions, the demand for technologically advanced ductless systems is expected to rise. This trend indicates a promising future for the Ductless HVAC System Market, as manufacturers continue to innovate and improve their offerings.

    Increasing Consumer Awareness of Indoor Air Quality

    The Ductless HVAC System Market is experiencing a notable shift as consumers become increasingly aware of the importance of indoor air quality. This heightened awareness is driving demand for systems that not only provide temperature control but also enhance air quality. Ductless systems, which often include advanced filtration options, are perceived as superior in this regard. According to recent data, a significant percentage of consumers prioritize air quality when selecting HVAC systems, leading to a surge in ductless installations. As health concerns related to air pollutants gain traction, the Ductless HVAC System Market is likely to see continued growth, as these systems offer a viable solution for improving indoor environments.

    Shift Towards Residential and Commercial Renovations

    The Ductless HVAC System Market is benefiting from a significant trend towards renovations in both residential and commercial sectors. As property owners seek to upgrade their HVAC systems, ductless solutions are often favored due to their ease of installation and minimal disruption. Recent data indicates that a considerable portion of renovation projects now incorporates ductless systems, reflecting a shift in consumer preferences. This trend is particularly pronounced in urban areas where space constraints make traditional ducted systems less feasible. Consequently, the Ductless HVAC System Market is poised for growth as more consumers opt for ductless solutions during renovation projects.

    Rising Demand for Customizable Climate Control Solutions

    The Ductless HVAC System Market is experiencing a surge in demand for customizable climate control solutions. Consumers are increasingly seeking systems that allow for individualized temperature settings in different rooms or zones. Ductless HVAC systems, with their multi-zone capabilities, cater to this demand effectively. Market analysis reveals that homes with ductless systems can achieve energy savings of up to 30% by allowing users to heat or cool only occupied spaces. This flexibility not only enhances comfort but also contributes to energy efficiency, making ductless systems an appealing choice for many. As the trend for personalized climate control continues, the Ductless HVAC System Market is likely to expand.

    Market Segment Insights

    By By Type: Cooling (Largest) vs. Heating (Fastest-Growing)

    In the Ductless HVAC System Market, the segment values of Cooling, Heating, and Ventilation exhibit varied market distributions. Cooling systems make up the largest share due to their wide adoption in both residential and commercial sectors. The efficiency of these systems in maintaining comfortable indoor temperatures during hot climates continues to drive their dominance. Conversely, the Heating segment, while smaller, is growing rapidly, fueled by the demand for energy-efficient solutions and advancements in technology that enhance performance and user experience. The growth trends within this segment are significantly influenced by increasing energy costs and a surge in environmentally conscious consumer behavior. The shift towards more sustainable living is pushing the Heating segment to the forefront, with innovations like heat pumps gaining traction. Furthermore, government regulations promoting energy efficiency and the role of HVAC systems in providing optimal air quality keep heating solutions relevant and in demand, positioning them as the fastest-growing segment in the Ductless HVAC market.

    Cooling (Dominant) vs. Heating (Emerging)

    Cooling systems represent the dominant force in the Ductless HVAC System Market, favored for their efficiency and effectiveness in managing indoor temperatures during peak summer months. Their advanced technology often includes inverter-driven compressors that optimize energy use, making them ideal for modern homes and commercial establishments focused on sustainability. Conversely, the Heating segment is rapidly emerging as a key player, with innovations like ductless heat pumps gaining popularity due to their versatility and reduced carbon footprints. Consumers are increasingly drawn to heating solutions that offer not just warmth but also enhanced efficiency and lower utility bills. As heating technology evolves, its market presence is expected to grow, challenging established cooling systems and contributing to the overall dynamic of the HVAC market.

    By By Implementation Type: New Construction (Largest) vs. Retrofit (Fastest-Growing)

    The Ductless HVAC System market demonstrates a distinct market share distribution, with the 'New Construction' segment commanding the largest portion. This segment benefits significantly from increasing urbanization and new building projects, where ductless systems provide a flexible and efficient solution for heating and cooling needs. On the other hand, the 'Retrofit' segment, while smaller, is witnessing remarkable growth as consumers seek to upgrade existing systems for improved energy efficiency and comfort, driven by regulatory incentives and rising awareness about sustainability.

    Implementation Type: New Construction (Dominant) vs. Retrofit (Emerging)

    In the Ductless HVAC System market, the 'New Construction' segment stands as the dominant player, characterized by its integration into modern building designs and its appeal to developers prioritizing efficiency. This segment is marked by an inclination towards cutting-edge technology and sustainable practices, as new establishments evolve to meet higher energy standards. Conversely, the 'Retrofit' segment is emerging, primarily fueled by existing property owners aiming to enhance their systems without major renovations. This segment showcases a growing demand for eco-friendly upgrades and less intrusive installation processes, making it an attractive option for homeowners seeking to reduce energy costs and improve climate control.

    By By Application: Residential (Largest) vs. Commercial (Fastest-Growing)

    The Ductless HVAC System Market is predominantly driven by the residential sector, which holds the largest share among the various applications. This segment benefits from increased investments in home renovations and the rising demand for energy-efficient and customizable climate control solutions. As homeowners seek to enhance comfort levels while minimizing energy consumption, the preference for ductless systems continues to grow in this segment.

    Residential (Dominant) vs. Commercial (Emerging)

    The residential segment is characterized by its focus on energy efficiency and user-friendly designs, catering to a growing segment of environmentally conscious consumers. These systems offer numerous advantages such as easy installation, flexibility in design, and cost-effectiveness. In contrast, the commercial segment is rapidly emerging, fueled by increasing demand in diverse industries and a shift towards more energy-efficient systems. Factors like stringent energy codes and regulations, alongside a growing emphasis on sustainability, are driving the adoption of ductless HVAC solutions in commercial settings. As such, both segments play critical roles within the market, each addressing specific consumer needs.

    Get more detailed insights about Ductless HVAC system Market

    Regional Insights

    By region, the study provides market insights into North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and the Rest of the World. The North American Ductless HVAC System market will have rapid growth in the market, owing to the rising consumer awareness about energy-efficient HVAC systems, stringent government regulations promoting energy conservation, and increasing construction activities that drive the demand for ductless HVAC systems in North America. Additionally, the renovation and replacement market is also a key driver of growth in this region.

    Further, the major countries studied in the market report are The US, Canada, German, France, the UK, Italy, Spain, China, Japan, India, Australia, South Korea, and Brazil.

    Figure 2: Ductless Hvac System Market Share By Region 2022 (Usd Billion)

    Ductless Hvac System Market Share By Region

    Source: Secondary Research, Primary Research, Market Research Future Database, and Analyst Review

    Europe's Ductless HVAC System market accounts for the second-largest market share due to the region's focus on energy efficiency and strict regulations regarding carbon emissions, which has led to the significant adoption of ductless HVAC systems. Further, the German Ductless HVAC System market held the largest market share, and the UK Ductless HVAC System market was the fastest-growing market in the European region.

    The Asia-Pacific Ductless HVAC System Market will dominate the CAGR from 2023 to 2032. Significant urbanization, increasing disposable income, and changing consumer preferences toward energy-efficient solutions are key factors driving the market in this region. Moreover, China’s Ductless HVAC System market held the largest market share, and the Indian Ductless HVAC System market was the significant-growing market in the Asia-Pacific region.

    Key Players and Competitive Insights

    Leading market players are investing heavily in research and development to expand their product lines, which will help the Ductless HVAC System market grow even more. Market participants are also undertaking various strategic activities to expand their footprint, with important market developments including new product launches, contractual agreements, mergers and acquisitions, higher investments, and collaboration with other organizations. The Ductless HVAC System industry must offer cost-effective items to expand and survive in a more competitive and rising market climate.

    Manufacturing locally to minimize operational costs is one of the key business tactics used by manufacturers in the Ductless HVAC System industry to benefit clients and increase the market sector. The Ductless HVAC System industry has offered some of the most significant medical advantages in recent years. 

    Major players in the Ductless HVAC System market, including Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd., Hitachi Ltd., United Technologies Corporation, LG Electronics, Johnson Controls, Mitsubishi Electric Corporation, Whirlpool Corporation, Daikin Industries Ltd., Electrolux, Trane, and others, are attempting to increase market demand by investing in research and development operations.

    International Dura Star, founded in 2001, and produced by Navistar International, is a product line of medium trucks. It competed against chassis cab vehicles derived from pickup trucks serving as the smallest international conventional cab product range. In April 2021, Durastar, a heating and cooling manufacturer, launched its first mini-split system range at the Power Equipment Direct chain of stores. 

    With a 10-year components warranty, the product changes give homeowners a reliable performance at an affordable price. Durastar mini-split structures provide optimal performance and endurance, reducing contractor returns and changing customer satisfaction. Thus, the floating heating and cooling systems for homes are driving the ductless heating & cooling systems market growth during the forecast period.

    Trane Inc., founded in 1913, and located in Swords, Dublin, Ireland, manufactures heating, ventilation, air conditioning, building management, and controls. It is a subsidiary of Trane Technologies. In 2021, Trane China propounded a new group of air cleaning systems that handles advanced technology to cut manipulation in indoor environments, including particulates, gases, and viruses. The system comprehensively improves indoor air quality. It shapes environmental safety under the new normal with the COVID-19 pandemic and meets people's added requirements for a safe, healthy, and comfortable indoor environment.

    Key Companies in the Ductless HVAC system Market market include

    Industry Developments

    • Q1 2025: Samsung Lennox HVAC North America launches first ductless heat pump products: Varix™ VRF and Lennox Powered by Samsung mini-split systems In February 2025, Samsung Lennox HVAC North America, through Lennox sales channels, introduced its first ductless heat pump products, including the Varix™ variable refrigerant flow (VRF) range and the Lennox Powered by Samsung mini-split systems, targeting the North American market.

    Future Outlook

    Ductless HVAC system Market Future Outlook

    The Ductless HVAC System Market is projected to grow at a 6.60% CAGR from 2025 to 2035, driven by energy efficiency demands, technological advancements, and increasing urbanization.

    New opportunities lie in:

    • Invest in smart ductless systems integrating IoT for enhanced energy management.
    • Expand product lines to include eco-friendly refrigerants and sustainable materials.
    • Develop targeted marketing strategies for residential and commercial sectors in emerging markets.

    By 2035, the Ductless HVAC System Market is expected to achieve substantial growth, reflecting evolving consumer preferences and technological innovations.

    Market Segmentation

    Ductless HVAC System Regional Outlook

    North America
    • US
    • Canada
    Europe
    • Germany
    • France
    • UK
    • Italy
    • Spain
    • Rest of Europe
    Asia-Pacific
    • China
    • Japan
    • India
    • Australia
    • South Korea
    • Rest of Asia-Pacific
    Rest of the World
    • Middle East
    • Africa
    • Latin America

    Ductless HVAC System Application Outlook

    • Residential
    • Commercial
    • Industrial

    Ductless HVAC System Equipment Type Outlook

    • Heating
    • Ventilation
    • Cooling

    Ductless HVAC System Implementation Type Outlook

    • New Commercial
    • Retrofit

    Report Scope

    Attribute/Metric Details
    Market Size 2024 USD 60.06 Billion
    Market Size 2035 121.34 (Value (USD Billion))
    Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) 6.60% (2025 - 2035)
    Base Year 2024
    Market Forecast Period 2025 - 2035
    Historical Data 2018- 2022
    Market Forecast Units Value (USD Billion)
    Report Coverage Revenue Forecast, Market Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
    Segments Covered Equipment Type, Implementation Type, Application, and Region
    Geographies Covered North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World
    Countries Covered The US, Canada, German, France, UK, Italy, Spain, China, Japan, India, Australia, South Korea, and Brazil
    Key Companies Profiled Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd., Hitachi Ltd., United Technologies Corporation, LG Electronics, Johnson Controls, Mitsubishi Electric Corporation, Whirlpool Corporation, Daikin Industries Ltd., Electrolux, Trane.
    Key Market Opportunities The rise in expenditure on public and private infrastructure projects.
    Key Market Dynamics The increase in demand and use for energy-efficient and power-saving heating and cooling equipment in various sectors.
    Market Size 2025 64.03 (Value (USD Billion))

    Market Highlights

    Author
    Snehal Singh
    Assistant Manager - Research

    High acumen in analyzing complex macro & micro markets with more than 6 years of work experience in the field of market research. By implementing her analytical skills in forecasting and estimation into market research reports, she has expertise in Packaging, Construction, and Equipment domains. She handles a team size of 20-25 resources and ensures smooth running of the projects, associated marketing activities, and client servicing.

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    FAQs

    How much is the Ductless HVAC System market?

    The Ductless HVAC System market size was valued at USD 55.83 Billion in 2023.

    What is the growth rate of the Ductless HVAC System market?

    The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 6.60% during the forecast period, 2024-2032.

    Which region had the largest market share in the Ductless HVAC System market?

    Asia-Pacific held the largest share of the market

    Who are the key players in the Ductless HVAC System market?

    The key players in the market are Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd., Hitachi Ltd., United Technologies Corporation, LG Electronics, Johnson Controls, Mitsubishi Electric Corporation, Whirlpool Corporation, Daikin Industries Ltd., Electrolux, and Trane.

    Which equipment type led the Ductless HVAC System market?

    The ventilation category dominated the market in 2022.

    Which implementation type had the largest Ductless HVAC System market share?

    The retrofit had the largest share of the market.

    Which application held the largest market share in the Ductless HVAC System market?

    The residential segment dominated the ductless market in 2022.

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