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Ductless Heat Pump Market Research Report By Installation (Wall-Mounted, Ceiling-Mounted, Floor-Mounted, Casette-Type), By Capacity (Less than 12,000 BTU, 12,000 to 18,000 BTU, 18,000 to 24,000 BTU, More than 24,000 BTU), By Inverter Technology (Inverter, Non-Inverter), By Smart Features (Wi-Fi Connectivity, Remote Control, Voice Control, Energy Monitoring), By Efficiency (SEER 16+, SEER 17+, SEER 18+, SEER 19+) andย  By Regional (North America, Europe, South America, Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa)ย  - Forecast to 2032.


ID: MRFR/CO/22747-HCR | 111 Pages | Author: Snehal Singh| December 2024

Global Ductless Heat Pump Market Overview


The Ductless Heat Pump Market Size was estimated at 33.45 (USD Billion) in 2022. The Ductless Heat Pump Industry is expected to grow from 35.24(USD Billion) in 2023 to 56.4 (USD Billion) by 2032. The Ductless Heat Pump Market CAGR (growth rate) is expected to be around 5.36% during the forecast period (2024 - 2032).


Key Ductless Heat Pump Market Trends Highlighted


The  ductless heat pump market is experiencing a rapid expansion driven by rising energy efficiency concerns and advancements in technology. Governments worldwide are implementing stringent regulations to promote energy-efficient HVAC systems, fostering the adoption of ductless heat pumps. Additionally, increasing demand for comfort and convenience in residential and commercial buildings fuels market growth.


Significant opportunities lie in the integration of smart technologies, allowing remote control and monitoring of ductless heat pumps. The trend towards personalized comfort and zoning systems is creating new avenues for market expansion. Additionally, the growing popularity of multi-zone systems, which can simultaneously heat or cool multiple rooms, presents a major growth opportunity.


Recent trends indicate a shift towards inverter technology, which enhances energy efficiency and reduces operating costs. The introduction of variable refrigerant flow (VRF) systems, which provide precise temperature control for individual zones, is gaining traction in commercial applications. Furthermore, innovations in refrigerant technology, such as the adoption of eco-friendly refrigerants, are shaping the market landscape, driving the industry towards sustainability and environmental consciousness.


Ductless Heat Pump Market Overview


Source: Primary Research, Secondary Research, MRFR Database and Analyst Review


Ductless Heat Pump Market Drivers 




  • Rising Energy Costs and Environmental Concerns




Ductless heat pumps offer a highly efficient and environmentally friendly alternative to traditional heating and cooling systems. As energy prices continue to rise, consumers and businesses are increasingly looking for ways to reduce their energy consumption and save money on utility bills. Ductless heat pumps can significantly reduce energy consumption compared to traditional systems, as they do not require ducts to distribute air, which can lead to significant energy loss.Additionally, ductless heat pumps use refrigerants with low  warming potential (GWP), making them a more environmentally friendly option. This combination of energy efficiency and environmental friendliness is a major driver of growth in the  Ductless Heat Pump Market Industry.


Government Incentives and Regulations


Governments around the world are implementing various incentives and regulations to promote the adoption of energy-efficient technologies, including ductless heat pumps. These incentives can include tax credits, rebates, and low-interest loans. Governments are also implementing regulations that require new buildings to meet certain energy efficiency standards. These incentives and regulations are making ductless heat pumps a more attractive option for consumers and businesses, as they can help to reduce the upfront cost of installation and ensure that buildings meet energy efficiency requirements.


Increasing Demand for Comfort and Convenience


Ductless heat pumps offer a high level of comfort and convenience, as they allow users to control the temperature of individual rooms or zones. This is especially beneficial in homes and businesses with multiple rooms that have different temperature requirements. Additionally, ductless heat pumps are relatively easy to install and maintain, making them a convenient option for consumers and businesses.


Ductless Heat Pump Market Segment Insights


Ductless Heat Pump Market Installation Insights  


Installation Segment Insights and Overview The installation segment plays a crucial role in the  Ductless Heat Pump Market. The market is segmented into four main installation types: Wall-Mounted, Ceiling-Mounted, Floor-Mounted, and Cassette-Type. Each type caters to specific needs and preferences of consumers.


Wall-mounted ductless heat pumps are the most popular type, accounting for a significant share of the  Ductless Heat Pump Market revenue. They are compact, easy to install, and offer both heating and cooling capabilities. Their sleek design makes them suitable for various residential and commercial applications.


Ceiling-mounted ductless heat pumps are often used in commercial buildings and large spaces. They provide efficient airflow distribution and can be concealed within the ceiling, offering a discreet and aesthetically pleasing solution.


Floor-mounted ductless heat pumps are ideal for rooms with limited wall or ceiling space. They are typically taller than other types and are designed to blend seamlessly with the décor of the room.Cassette-type ductless heat pumps are designed for drop-in ceiling installations. They are commonly used in offices, retail stores, and other commercial spaces. Their compact size and flush-mounted design provide a subtle and unobtrusive heating and cooling solution.


The  Ductless Heat Pump Market is witnessing steady growth, driven by increasing energy efficiency awareness, rising demand for comfort solutions, and government incentives for energy-saving appliances. The installation segment is expected to continue expanding in the coming years as more consumers opt for energy-efficient and convenient heating and cooling systems.


Ductless Heat Pump Market Installation


Source: Primary Research, Secondary Research, MRFR Database and Analyst Review


Ductless Heat Pump Market Capacity Insights  


The  Ductless Heat Pump Market is segmented by capacity into Less than 12,000 BTU, 12,000 to 18,000 BTU, 18,000 to 24,000 BTU, and More than 24,000 BTU. Among these segments, the 12,000 to 18,000 BTU segment is expected to hold the largest market share in 2023, accounting for around 35% of the  Ductless Heat Pump Market revenue. This is due to the increasing demand for energy-efficient and cost-effective heating and cooling solutions for small to medium-sized spaces.


The Less than 12,000 BTU segment is also expected to witness significant growth, owing to its growing popularity in residential applications.The 18,000 to 24,000 BTU and More than 24,000 BTU segments are expected to grow at a steady pace, driven by the increasing adoption of ductless heat pumps in commercial and industrial applications.


Ductless Heat Pump Market Inverter Technology Insights  


The Inverter and Non-Inverter segments collectively account for the vast majority of the  Ductless Heat Pump Market revenue. The Inverter segment, which offers improved energy efficiency and temperature control, is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 5.8%, reaching a market valuation of USD 26.5 billion by 2024.


The Non-Inverter segment is projected to exhibit a CAGR of 3.9%, reaching a market size of USD 11.4 billion by 2024. Inverter technology, by precisely adjusting compressor speed to match heating and cooling demands, optimizes energy usage and reduces temperature fluctuations, resulting in lower operating costs and enhanced comfort for end-users.


Ductless Heat Pump Market Smart Features Insights  


The increasing demand for enhanced convenience, energy efficiency, and remote access is driving the growth of smart features in the  Ductless Heat Pump market. Wi-Fi Connectivity allows users to control their Ductless Heat Pump remotely through smartphones or tablets, enabling easy temperature adjustment, scheduling, and monitoring from anywhere.


Remote Control provides similar functionality through dedicated remote controls, offering flexibility and ease of use. Voice Control integration with smart home assistants like Amazon Alexa and Google Assistant enables hands-free operation and enhances user experience.Energy Monitoring features track energy consumption and provides insights into usage patterns, empowering consumers to optimize energy efficiency and reduce utility bills. These smart features are expected to contribute significantly to the growth of the  Ductless Heat Pump Market revenue, which is projected to reach USD 38.46 Billion by 2024, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.2% during the forecast period 2023-2032. Regional variations and specific market trends may influence the adoption rate of these smart features, providing opportunities for manufacturers to tailor their offerings to meet local market demands. 


Ductless Heat Pump Market Efficiency Insights  


The  Ductless Heat Pump Market is segmented by Efficiency into SEER 16+, SEER 17+, SEER 18+, and SEER 19+. The SEER 16+ segment is expected to witness significant growth in the coming years. In 2023, the SEER 16+ segment accounted for a revenue of USD 10.2 billion and is projected to reach USD 16.5 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.6%.


The SEER 17+ segment is also expected to grow at a steady pace, with a projected CAGR of 5.3%. The SEER 18+ segment is expected to account for a significant share of the market in the coming years, with a projected CAGR of 5.1%.The SEER 19+ segment is expected to grow at a slower pace, with a projected CAGR of 4.9%.


Ductless Heat Pump Market Regional Insights  


The regional segmentation of the  Ductless Heat Pump Market offers insights into the market's geographic distribution and performance across various regions. North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and MEA are the key regions evaluated in this segmentation.


North America holds a significant share of the  Ductless Heat Pump Market revenue, driven by the increasing adoption of energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions in residential and commercial buildings. The region's focus on reducing carbon emissions and improving energy efficiency contributes to the growth of the ductless heat pump market.Europe presents a promising market for ductless heat pumps due to government initiatives promoting renewable energy and energy conservation. The region's emphasis on sustainable construction and renovation projects creates opportunities for the adoption of ductless heat pumps as an energy-efficient alternative to traditional heating and cooling systems.


APAC is expected to witness substantial growth in the Ductless Heat Pump Market, primarily driven by the rising demand for energy-efficient solutions in rapidly developing economies like China and India.The region's growing population and urbanization fuel the need for efficient and affordable heating and cooling systems, making ductless heat pumps an attractive option.


South America offers growth potential for the Ductless Heat Pump Market. Countries like Brazil and Argentina are focusing on reducing energy consumption and promoting sustainable practices. Government incentives and awareness campaigns contribute to the increasing adoption of ductless heat pumps in the region.


MEA presents opportunities for the Ductless Heat Pump Market due to rising energy demand and government initiatives supporting renewable energy. The region's hot climate and increasing population drive the demand for energy-efficient cooling solutions, making ductless heat pumps a suitable choice for residential and commercial applications.


Ductless Heat Pump Market Regional


Source: Primary Research, Secondary Research, MRFR Database and Analyst Review


Ductless Heat Pump Market Key Players And Competitive Insights


Major players in the Ductless Heat Pump Market industry are focusing on expanding their product portfolio and increasing their market share. Leading Ductless Heat Pump Market players are adopting various strategies, such as new product launches, acquisitions, and partnerships, to gain a competitive edge in the market. The Ductless Heat Pump Market is expected to witness significant growth in the coming years, owing to rising demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions.A prominent player in the Ductless Heat Pump Market, Mitsubishi Electric, is known for its advanced technology and innovative products. The company offers a wide range of ductless heat pumps, including single-zone, multi-zone, and variable refrigerant flow (VRF) systems. Mitsubishi Electric's ductless heat pumps are designed to provide high energy efficiency, quiet operation, and precise temperature control. The company has a strong presence in both residential and commercial markets, and it continues to invest in research and development to enhance its product offerings.Another key player in the Ductless Heat Pump Market, Daikin Industries, is a  leader in the manufacturing of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration systems. The company's ductless heat pumps are known for their reliability, durability, and energy efficiency. Daikin Industries offers a comprehensive range of ductless heat pumps, including wall-mounted, ceiling-mounted, and floor-mounted units. The company has a strong focus on innovation, and it regularly introduces new products and technologies to meet the evolving needs of its customers. Daikin Industries has a wide distribution network, which enables it to reach customers in various regions around the world.


Key Companies in the Ductless Heat Pump Market Include



  • Toshiba Carrier Corporation

  • Haier

  • Samsung Electronics

  • Daikin

  • LG Electronics

  • Trane Technologies

  • Fujitsu General

  • Panasonic

  • Mitsubishi Electric

  • Midea Group

  • Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Thermal Systems

  • Hisense

  • Carrier

  • Gree Electric Appliances

  • Lennox International


Ductless Heat Pump Market Industry Developments


The ductless heat pump market is projected to grow by 5.36% CAGR from 2023 to 2032, reaching a valuation of USD 56.4 billion by 2032. Increasing energy consumption and rising electricity prices are driving the growth of the market. Government initiatives promoting energy efficiency and the adoption of renewable energy sources are also contributing to the growth of the market.


Recently, Mitsubishi Electric Corporation announced the launch of its new ductless heat pump system, which features advanced technology for improved energy efficiency and comfort. Additionally, companies are focusing on developing smart ductless heat pumps with features such as remote control and monitoring capabilities. These advancements are expected to further drive the growth of the ductless heat pump market in the coming years.


Ductless Heat Pump Market Segmentation Insights


Ductless Heat Pump Market Installation Outlook



  • Wall-Mounted

  • Ceiling-Mounted

  • Floor-Mounted

  • Cassette-Type


Ductless Heat Pump Market Capacity Outlook



  • Less than 12,000 BTU

  • 12,000 to 18,000 BTU

  • 18,000 to 24,000 BTU

  • More than 24,000 BTU


Ductless Heat Pump Market Inverter Technology Outlook



  • Inverter

  • Non-Inverter


Ductless Heat Pump Market Smart Features Outlook



  • Wi-Fi Connectivity

  • Remote Control

  • Voice Control

  • Energy Monitoring


Ductless Heat Pump Market Efficiency Outlook



  • SEER 16+

  • SEER 17+

  • SEER 18+

  • SEER 19+


Ductless Heat Pump Market Regional Outlook



  • North America

  • Europe

  • South America

  • Asia Pacific

  • Middle East and Africa

Report Attribute/Metric Details
Market Size 2022 33.45(USD Billion)
Market Size 2023 35.24(USD Billion)
Market Size 2032 56.4(USD Billion)
Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) 5.36% (2024 - 2032)
Report Coverage Revenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends
Base Year 2023
Market Forecast Period 2024 - 2032
Historical Data 2019 - 2023
Market Forecast Units USD Billion
Key Companies Profiled Toshiba Carrier Corporation, Haier, Samsung Electronics, Daikin, LG Electronics, Trane Technologies, Fujitsu General, Panasonic, Mitsubishi Electric, Midea Group, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Thermal Systems, Hisense, Carrier, Gree Electric Appliances, Lennox International
Segments Covered Installation, Capacity, Inverter Technology, Smart Features, Efficiency, Regional
Key Market Opportunities 1 Growing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions2 Increasing adoption in renovation and retrofit projects for enhanced comfort3 Rising demand for customized temperature control in different zones within buildings4 Favorable government policies and incentives driving adoption5 Integration with smart home systems for remote control and energy management
Key Market Dynamics Rising energy efficiency concernsย Growing demand for convenienceย Increasing government regulations and incentivesย Technological advancements and innovationย Expanding applications in residential and commercial sectors
Countries Covered North America, Europe, APAC, South America, MEA


Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) :

The ductless heat pump market is expected to be worth USD 35.24 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.36% to reach USD 56.4 billion by 2032.

North America holds a significant share of the Ductless Heat Pump Market revenue, and Europe is also a significant market, with growing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions.

Ductless heat pumps are primarily used for space heating and cooling in residential and commercial buildings. They are also gaining popularity in industrial applications, such as warehouses and manufacturing facilities.

Key players in the ductless heat pump market include Mitsubishi Electric, Daikin Industries, Gree Electric Appliances, LG Electronics, and Samsung Electronics. These companies offer a wide range of products and technologies to meet the diverse needs of customers.

The growing demand for energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions, increasing urbanization, and government incentives for renewable energy technologies are the primary drivers of the ductless heat pump market.

The high upfront cost of ductless heat pumps and the lack of skilled technicians for installation and maintenance are some of the challenges faced by the market.

The integration of smart technologies, the development of more efficient and quieter systems, and the growing adoption of ductless heat pumps in commercial applications are some of the key trends in the market.

The ductless heat pump market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.36% from 2024 to 2032.

The growing demand for ductless heat pumps in developing countries, the increasing popularity of smart home technologies, and the focus on sustainability are creating new opportunities in the market.

Factors to consider when choosing a ductless heat pump include the size and layout of the space to be heated or cooled, the climate conditions, the energy efficiency rating, the noise level, and the installation and maintenance costs.

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